pop-cosmos: Insights from generative modeling of a deep, infrared-selected galaxy population

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Thorp, Stephen, Peiris, Hiranya V., Jagwani, Gurjeet, Deger, Sinan, Alsing, Justin, Leistedt, Boris, Mortlock, Daniel J., Halder, Anik, Leja, Joel
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Thorp, Stephen
Peiris, Hiranya V.
Jagwani, Gurjeet
Deger, Sinan
Alsing, Justin
Leistedt, Boris
Mortlock, Daniel J.
Halder, Anik
Leja, Joel
author_facet Thorp, Stephen
Peiris, Hiranya V.
Jagwani, Gurjeet
Deger, Sinan
Alsing, Justin
Leistedt, Boris
Mortlock, Daniel J.
Halder, Anik
Leja, Joel
contents We present an extension of the pop-cosmos model for the evolving galaxy population up to redshift $z\sim6$. The model is trained on distributions of observed colors and magnitudes, from 26-band photometry of $\sim420,000$ galaxies in the COSMOS2020 catalog with Spitzer IRAC $\textit{Ch. 1}<26$. The generative model includes a flexible distribution over 16 stellar population synthesis (SPS) parameters, and a depth-dependent photometric uncertainty model, both represented using score-based diffusion models. We use the trained model to predict scaling relationships for the galaxy population, such as the stellar mass function, star-forming main sequence, and gas-phase and stellar metallicity vs. mass relations, demonstrating reasonable-to-excellent agreement with previously published results. We explore the connection between mid-infrared emission from active galactic nuclei (AGN) and star-formation rate, finding high AGN activity for galaxies above the star-forming main sequence at $1\lesssim z\lesssim 2$. Using the trained population model as a prior distribution, we perform inference of the redshifts and SPS parameters for 429,669 COSMOS2020 galaxies, including 39,588 with publicly available spectroscopic redshifts. The resulting redshift estimates exhibit minimal bias ($\text{median}[Δ_z]=-8\times10^{-4}$), scatter ($σ_\text{MAD}=0.0132$), and outlier fraction ($6.19\%$) for the full $0<z<6$ spectroscopic compilation. These results establish that pop-cosmos can achieve the accuracy and realism needed to forward-model modern wide--deep surveys for Stage IV cosmology. We publicly release pop-cosmos software, mock galaxy catalogs, and COSMOS2020 redshift and SPS parameter posteriors.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_12122
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle pop-cosmos: Insights from generative modeling of a deep, infrared-selected galaxy population
Thorp, Stephen
Peiris, Hiranya V.
Jagwani, Gurjeet
Deger, Sinan
Alsing, Justin
Leistedt, Boris
Mortlock, Daniel J.
Halder, Anik
Leja, Joel
Astrophysics of Galaxies
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
We present an extension of the pop-cosmos model for the evolving galaxy population up to redshift $z\sim6$. The model is trained on distributions of observed colors and magnitudes, from 26-band photometry of $\sim420,000$ galaxies in the COSMOS2020 catalog with Spitzer IRAC $\textit{Ch. 1}<26$. The generative model includes a flexible distribution over 16 stellar population synthesis (SPS) parameters, and a depth-dependent photometric uncertainty model, both represented using score-based diffusion models. We use the trained model to predict scaling relationships for the galaxy population, such as the stellar mass function, star-forming main sequence, and gas-phase and stellar metallicity vs. mass relations, demonstrating reasonable-to-excellent agreement with previously published results. We explore the connection between mid-infrared emission from active galactic nuclei (AGN) and star-formation rate, finding high AGN activity for galaxies above the star-forming main sequence at $1\lesssim z\lesssim 2$. Using the trained population model as a prior distribution, we perform inference of the redshifts and SPS parameters for 429,669 COSMOS2020 galaxies, including 39,588 with publicly available spectroscopic redshifts. The resulting redshift estimates exhibit minimal bias ($\text{median}[Δ_z]=-8\times10^{-4}$), scatter ($σ_\text{MAD}=0.0132$), and outlier fraction ($6.19\%$) for the full $0<z<6$ spectroscopic compilation. These results establish that pop-cosmos can achieve the accuracy and realism needed to forward-model modern wide--deep surveys for Stage IV cosmology. We publicly release pop-cosmos software, mock galaxy catalogs, and COSMOS2020 redshift and SPS parameter posteriors.
title pop-cosmos: Insights from generative modeling of a deep, infrared-selected galaxy population
topic Astrophysics of Galaxies
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.12122