Implied Probabilities and Volatility in Credit Risk: A Merton-Based Approach with Binomial Trees
Fuente:
arXiv
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | Gnawali, Jagdish, Shirvani, Abootaleb, Rachev, Svetlozar T. |
|---|---|
| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2025
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
Similar Items
Risk-Adjusted Performance of Random Forest Models in High-Frequency Trading
by: Deep, Akash, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Deep, Akash, et al.
Published: (2024)
Behavioral Probability Weighting and Portfolio Optimization under Semi-Heavy Tails
by: Jha, Ayush, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Jha, Ayush, et al.
Published: (2025)
Beyond the Bid-Ask: Strategic Insights into Spread Prediction and the Global Mid-Price Phenomenon
by: He, Yifan, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: He, Yifan, et al.
Published: (2024)
Hedging via Perpetual Derivatives: Trinomial Option Pricing and Implied Parameter Surface Analysis
by: Gnawali, Jagdish, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Gnawali, Jagdish, et al.
Published: (2024)
Neural Lévy SDE for State--Dependent Risk and Density Forecasting
by: Wang, Ziyao, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Wang, Ziyao, et al.
Published: (2025)
Randomization of Short-Rate Models, Analytic Pricing and Flexibility in Controlling Implied Volatilities
by: Grzelak, Lech A.
Published: (2022)
by: Grzelak, Lech A.
Published: (2022)
Enhancing Deep Hedging of Options with Implied Volatility Surface Feedback Information
by: François, Pascal, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: François, Pascal, et al.
Published: (2024)
Multimodal Insights into Credit Risk Modelling: Integrating Climate and Text Data for Default Prediction
by: Wu, Zongxiao, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Wu, Zongxiao, et al.
Published: (2026)
Dynamic Asset Pricing in a Unified Bachelier-Black-Scholes-Merton Model
by: Lindquist, W. Brent, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Lindquist, W. Brent, et al.
Published: (2024)
Neural Networks for Portfolio-Level Risk Management: Portfolio Compression, Static Hedging, Counterparty Credit Risk Exposures and Impact on Capital Requirement
by: Dhandapani, Vikranth Lokeshwar, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Dhandapani, Vikranth Lokeshwar, et al.
Published: (2024)
Assessing Stablecoin Credit Risks
by: Boneh, Yuval, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Boneh, Yuval, et al.
Published: (2024)
Risk-Sensitive Specialist Routing for Volatility Forecasting
by: Zhong, Tenghan
Published: (2026)
by: Zhong, Tenghan
Published: (2026)
Informative Risk Measures in the Banking Industry: A Proposal based on the Magnitude-Propensity Approach
by: Bonollo, Michele, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Bonollo, Michele, et al.
Published: (2025)
A Spatio-Temporal Machine Learning Model for Mortgage Credit Risk: Default Probabilities and Loan Portfolios
by: Kündig, Pascal, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Kündig, Pascal, et al.
Published: (2024)
Liquidity Premium, Liquidity-Adjusted Return and Volatility, and Extreme Liquidity
by: Deng, Qi, et al.
Published: (2023)
by: Deng, Qi, et al.
Published: (2023)
Fast and Stable Credit Gamma of CVA
by: Daluiso, Roberto
Published: (2023)
by: Daluiso, Roberto
Published: (2023)
Optimizing Neural Networks for Bermudan Option Pricing: Convergence Acceleration, Future Exposure Evaluation and Interpolation in Counterparty Credit Risk
by: Dhandapani, Vikranth Lokeshwar, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Dhandapani, Vikranth Lokeshwar, et al.
Published: (2024)
An Asymptotic CVaR Measure of Risk for Markov Chains
by: Patel, Shivam, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Patel, Shivam, et al.
Published: (2024)
Environmental CVA with K-Robust Wrong-Way Risk
by: Sakuma, Takayuki
Published: (2026)
by: Sakuma, Takayuki
Published: (2026)
Navigating Market Turbulence: Insights from Causal Network Contagion Value at Risk
by: Rigana, Katerina, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Rigana, Katerina, et al.
Published: (2024)
Efficient Wrong-Way Risk Modelling for Funding Valuation Adjustments
by: van der Zwaard, T., et al.
Published: (2022)
by: van der Zwaard, T., et al.
Published: (2022)
DeFi Liquidation Risk Modeling Using Geometric Brownian Motion
by: Belenko, Timofei, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Belenko, Timofei, et al.
Published: (2025)
Data-driven Approach for Static Hedging of Exchange Traded Options
by: Dhandapani, Vikranth Lokeshwar, et al.
Published: (2023)
by: Dhandapani, Vikranth Lokeshwar, et al.
Published: (2023)
A Methodology to Measure Impacts of Scenarios Through Expected Credit Losses
by: Alaghmandan, Mahmood, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Alaghmandan, Mahmood, et al.
Published: (2026)
Forecasting Credit Ratings: A Case Study where Traditional Methods Outperform Generative LLMs
by: Drinkall, Felix, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Drinkall, Felix, et al.
Published: (2024)
Black-Litterman and ESG Portfolio Optimization
by: Alpern, Aviv, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Alpern, Aviv, et al.
Published: (2025)
Evaluating Credit VIX (CDS IV) Prediction Methods with Incremental Batch Learning
by: Taylor, Robert
Published: (2024)
by: Taylor, Robert
Published: (2024)
Beyond the Traditional VIX: A Novel Approach to Identifying Uncertainty Shocks in Financial Markets
by: Jha, Ayush, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Jha, Ayush, et al.
Published: (2024)
Explainable Automated Machine Learning for Credit Decisions: Enhancing Human Artificial Intelligence Collaboration in Financial Engineering
by: Schmitt, Marc
Published: (2024)
by: Schmitt, Marc
Published: (2024)
Cross-Domain Behavioral Credit Modeling: transferability from private to central data
by: Didkovskyi, O., et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Didkovskyi, O., et al.
Published: (2024)
Foundation Time-Series AI Model for Realized Volatility Forecasting
by: Goel, Anubha, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Goel, Anubha, et al.
Published: (2025)
Unified GARCH-Recurrent Neural Network in Financial Volatility Forecasting
by: Wei, Jingyi, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Wei, Jingyi, et al.
Published: (2025)
DeepVol: Volatility Forecasting from High-Frequency Data with Dilated Causal Convolutions
by: Moreno-Pino, Fernando, et al.
Published: (2022)
by: Moreno-Pino, Fernando, et al.
Published: (2022)
Provisions and Economic Capital for Credit Losses
by: Bastide, Dorinel, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Bastide, Dorinel, et al.
Published: (2024)
Do Prediction Markets Forecast Cryptocurrency Volatility? Evidence from Kalshi Macro Contracts
by: Mohanty, Hardhik, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Mohanty, Hardhik, et al.
Published: (2026)
Dynamic Risk in the U.S. Banking System: An Analysis of Sentiment, Policy Shocks, and Spillover Effects
by: Wang, Haibo, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Wang, Haibo, et al.
Published: (2026)
Institutional Backing and Crypto Volatility: A Hybrid Framework for DeFi Stabilization
by: Sovbetov, Ihlas
Published: (2025)
by: Sovbetov, Ihlas
Published: (2025)
Modeling Bank Systemic Risk of Emerging Markets under Geopolitical Shocks: Empirical Evidence from BRICS Countries
by: Wang, Haibo
Published: (2025)
by: Wang, Haibo
Published: (2025)
Joint Stochastic Optimal Control and Stopping in Aquaculture: Finite-Difference and PINN-Based Approaches
by: Kamm, Kevin
Published: (2025)
by: Kamm, Kevin
Published: (2025)
Solving The Dynamic Volatility Fitting Problem: A Deep Reinforcement Learning Approach
by: Gnabeyeu, Emmanuel, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Gnabeyeu, Emmanuel, et al.
Published: (2024)
Similar Items
-
Risk-Adjusted Performance of Random Forest Models in High-Frequency Trading
by: Deep, Akash, et al.
Published: (2024) -
Behavioral Probability Weighting and Portfolio Optimization under Semi-Heavy Tails
by: Jha, Ayush, et al.
Published: (2025) -
Beyond the Bid-Ask: Strategic Insights into Spread Prediction and the Global Mid-Price Phenomenon
by: He, Yifan, et al.
Published: (2024) -
Hedging via Perpetual Derivatives: Trinomial Option Pricing and Implied Parameter Surface Analysis
by: Gnawali, Jagdish, et al.
Published: (2024) -
Neural Lévy SDE for State--Dependent Risk and Density Forecasting
by: Wang, Ziyao, et al.
Published: (2025)