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Main Authors: Chen, Hongbo, Xia, Li Charlie
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.12829
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author Chen, Hongbo
Xia, Li Charlie
author_facet Chen, Hongbo
Xia, Li Charlie
contents Generalization under distribution shift remains a core challenge in modern machine learning, yet existing learning bound theory is limited to narrow, idealized settings and is non-estimable from samples. In this paper, we bridge the gap between theory and practical applications. We first show that existing bounds become loose and non-estimable because their concept shift definition breaks when the source and target supports mismatch. Leveraging entropic optimal transport, we propose new support-agnostic definitions for covariate and concept shifts, and derive a novel unified error bound that applies to broad loss functions, label spaces, and stochastic labeling. We further develop estimators for these shifts with concentration guarantees, and the DataShifts algorithm, which can quantify distribution shifts and estimate the error bound in most applications -- a rigorous and general tool for analyzing learning error under distribution shift.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_12829
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle General and Estimable Learning Bound Unifying Covariate and Concept Shifts
Chen, Hongbo
Xia, Li Charlie
Machine Learning
Generalization under distribution shift remains a core challenge in modern machine learning, yet existing learning bound theory is limited to narrow, idealized settings and is non-estimable from samples. In this paper, we bridge the gap between theory and practical applications. We first show that existing bounds become loose and non-estimable because their concept shift definition breaks when the source and target supports mismatch. Leveraging entropic optimal transport, we propose new support-agnostic definitions for covariate and concept shifts, and derive a novel unified error bound that applies to broad loss functions, label spaces, and stochastic labeling. We further develop estimators for these shifts with concentration guarantees, and the DataShifts algorithm, which can quantify distribution shifts and estimate the error bound in most applications -- a rigorous and general tool for analyzing learning error under distribution shift.
title General and Estimable Learning Bound Unifying Covariate and Concept Shifts
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.12829