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Main Authors: Chen, Xin, Klusowski, Jason M., Tan, Yan Shuo, Yu, Chang
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.15643
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author Chen, Xin
Klusowski, Jason M.
Tan, Yan Shuo
Yu, Chang
author_facet Chen, Xin
Klusowski, Jason M.
Tan, Yan Shuo
Yu, Chang
contents Feature subsampling is a core component of random forests and other ensemble methods. While recent theory suggests that this randomization acts solely as a variance reduction mechanism analogous to ridge regularization, these results largely rely on base learners optimized via ordinary least squares. We investigate the effects of feature subsampling on greedy forward selection, a model that better captures the adaptive nature of decision trees. Assuming an orthogonal design, we prove that ensembling with feature subsampling can reduce both bias and variance, contrasting with the pure variance reduction of convex base learners. More precisely, we show that both the training error and degrees of freedom can be non-monotonic in the subsampling rate, breaking the analogy with standard shrinkage methods like the lasso or ridge regression. Furthermore, we characterize the exact asymptotic behavior of the estimator, showing that it adaptively reweights OLS coefficients based on their rank, with weights that are well-approximated by a logistic function. These results elucidate the distinct role of algorithmic randomization when interleaved with greedy optimization.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_15643
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Revisiting Randomization in Greedy Model Search
Chen, Xin
Klusowski, Jason M.
Tan, Yan Shuo
Yu, Chang
Machine Learning
Feature subsampling is a core component of random forests and other ensemble methods. While recent theory suggests that this randomization acts solely as a variance reduction mechanism analogous to ridge regularization, these results largely rely on base learners optimized via ordinary least squares. We investigate the effects of feature subsampling on greedy forward selection, a model that better captures the adaptive nature of decision trees. Assuming an orthogonal design, we prove that ensembling with feature subsampling can reduce both bias and variance, contrasting with the pure variance reduction of convex base learners. More precisely, we show that both the training error and degrees of freedom can be non-monotonic in the subsampling rate, breaking the analogy with standard shrinkage methods like the lasso or ridge regression. Furthermore, we characterize the exact asymptotic behavior of the estimator, showing that it adaptively reweights OLS coefficients based on their rank, with weights that are well-approximated by a logistic function. These results elucidate the distinct role of algorithmic randomization when interleaved with greedy optimization.
title Revisiting Randomization in Greedy Model Search
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.15643