Summary Statistics of Large-scale Model Outputs for Observation-corrected Outputs

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Chakraborty, Atlanta, Bessac, Julie
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Chakraborty, Atlanta
Bessac, Julie
author_facet Chakraborty, Atlanta
Bessac, Julie
contents Physics-based models capture broad spatial and temporal dynamics, but often suffer from biases and numerical approximations, while observations capture localized variability but are sparse. Integrating these complementary data modalities is important to improving the accuracy and reliability of model outputs. Meanwhile, physics-based models typically generate large outputs that are challenging to manipulate. In this paper, we propose Sig-PCA, a space-time framework that integrates summary statistics from model outputs with localized observations via a neural network (NN). By leveraging reduced-order representations from physics-based models and integrating them with observational data, our approach corrects model outputs, while allowing to work with dimensionally-reduced quantities hence with smaller NNs. This framework highlights the synergy between observational data and statistical summaries of model outputs, and effectively combines multisource data by preserving essential statistical information. We demonstrate our approach on two datasets (surface temperature and surface wind) with different statistical properties and different ratios of model to observational data. Our method corrects model outputs to align closely with the observational data, specifically enabling to correct probability distributions and space-time correlation structures.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_15845
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Summary Statistics of Large-scale Model Outputs for Observation-corrected Outputs
Chakraborty, Atlanta
Bessac, Julie
Methodology
Applications
Computation
Machine Learning
Physics-based models capture broad spatial and temporal dynamics, but often suffer from biases and numerical approximations, while observations capture localized variability but are sparse. Integrating these complementary data modalities is important to improving the accuracy and reliability of model outputs. Meanwhile, physics-based models typically generate large outputs that are challenging to manipulate. In this paper, we propose Sig-PCA, a space-time framework that integrates summary statistics from model outputs with localized observations via a neural network (NN). By leveraging reduced-order representations from physics-based models and integrating them with observational data, our approach corrects model outputs, while allowing to work with dimensionally-reduced quantities hence with smaller NNs. This framework highlights the synergy between observational data and statistical summaries of model outputs, and effectively combines multisource data by preserving essential statistical information. We demonstrate our approach on two datasets (surface temperature and surface wind) with different statistical properties and different ratios of model to observational data. Our method corrects model outputs to align closely with the observational data, specifically enabling to correct probability distributions and space-time correlation structures.
title Summary Statistics of Large-scale Model Outputs for Observation-corrected Outputs
topic Methodology
Applications
Computation
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.15845