Long Coalition Leads to Shrink? The Roles of Tipping and Technology-Sharing in Climate Clubs

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Zhu, Lei, Yan, Zhihao, Duan, Hongbo, Cai, Yongyang, Zhang, Xiaobing
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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_version_ 1866912440236638208
author Zhu, Lei
Yan, Zhihao
Duan, Hongbo
Cai, Yongyang
Zhang, Xiaobing
author_facet Zhu, Lei
Yan, Zhihao
Duan, Hongbo
Cai, Yongyang
Zhang, Xiaobing
contents Global cooperation is posited as a pivotal solution to address climate change, yet significant barriers, like free-riding, hinder its realization. This paper develops a dynamic game-theoretic model to analyze the stability of coalitions under multiple stochastic climate tippings, and a technology-sharing mechanism is designed in the model to combat free-ridings. Our results reveal that coalitions tend to shrink over time as temperatures rise, owing to potential free-ridings, despite a large size of initial coalition. The threat of climate tipping reduces the size of stable coalitions compared to the case where tipping is ignored. However, at post-tipping period, coalitions temporarily expand as regions respond to the shock, though this cooperation is short-lived and followed by further shrink. Notably, technology-sharing generates greater collective benefits than sanctions, suggesting that the proposed dynamic technology-sharing pathway bolsters coalition resilience against free-riding while limiting the global warming. This framework highlights the critical role of technology-sharing in fostering long-term climate cooperation under climate tipping uncertainties.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_16162
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Long Coalition Leads to Shrink? The Roles of Tipping and Technology-Sharing in Climate Clubs
Zhu, Lei
Yan, Zhihao
Duan, Hongbo
Cai, Yongyang
Zhang, Xiaobing
General Economics
Economics
Global cooperation is posited as a pivotal solution to address climate change, yet significant barriers, like free-riding, hinder its realization. This paper develops a dynamic game-theoretic model to analyze the stability of coalitions under multiple stochastic climate tippings, and a technology-sharing mechanism is designed in the model to combat free-ridings. Our results reveal that coalitions tend to shrink over time as temperatures rise, owing to potential free-ridings, despite a large size of initial coalition. The threat of climate tipping reduces the size of stable coalitions compared to the case where tipping is ignored. However, at post-tipping period, coalitions temporarily expand as regions respond to the shock, though this cooperation is short-lived and followed by further shrink. Notably, technology-sharing generates greater collective benefits than sanctions, suggesting that the proposed dynamic technology-sharing pathway bolsters coalition resilience against free-riding while limiting the global warming. This framework highlights the critical role of technology-sharing in fostering long-term climate cooperation under climate tipping uncertainties.
title Long Coalition Leads to Shrink? The Roles of Tipping and Technology-Sharing in Climate Clubs
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.16162