Large Language Models are Near-Optimal Decision-Makers with a Non-Human Learning Behavior

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Li, Hao, Zhang, Gengrui, Holme, Petter, Hu, Shuyue, Wang, Zhen
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Li, Hao
Zhang, Gengrui
Holme, Petter
Hu, Shuyue
Wang, Zhen
author_facet Li, Hao
Zhang, Gengrui
Holme, Petter
Hu, Shuyue
Wang, Zhen
contents Human decision-making belongs to the foundation of our society and civilization, but we are on the verge of a future where much of it will be delegated to artificial intelligence. The arrival of Large Language Models (LLMs) has transformed the nature and scope of AI-supported decision-making; however, the process by which they learn to make decisions, compared to humans, remains poorly understood. In this study, we examined the decision-making behavior of five leading LLMs across three core dimensions of real-world decision-making: uncertainty, risk, and set-shifting. Using three well-established experimental psychology tasks designed to probe these dimensions, we benchmarked LLMs against 360 newly recruited human participants. Across all tasks, LLMs often outperformed humans, approaching near-optimal performance. Moreover, the processes underlying their decisions diverged fundamentally from those of humans. On the one hand, our finding demonstrates the ability of LLMs to manage uncertainty, calibrate risk, and adapt to changes. On the other hand, this disparity highlights the risks of relying on them as substitutes for human judgment, calling for further inquiry.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_16163
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Large Language Models are Near-Optimal Decision-Makers with a Non-Human Learning Behavior
Li, Hao
Zhang, Gengrui
Holme, Petter
Hu, Shuyue
Wang, Zhen
Artificial Intelligence
Human decision-making belongs to the foundation of our society and civilization, but we are on the verge of a future where much of it will be delegated to artificial intelligence. The arrival of Large Language Models (LLMs) has transformed the nature and scope of AI-supported decision-making; however, the process by which they learn to make decisions, compared to humans, remains poorly understood. In this study, we examined the decision-making behavior of five leading LLMs across three core dimensions of real-world decision-making: uncertainty, risk, and set-shifting. Using three well-established experimental psychology tasks designed to probe these dimensions, we benchmarked LLMs against 360 newly recruited human participants. Across all tasks, LLMs often outperformed humans, approaching near-optimal performance. Moreover, the processes underlying their decisions diverged fundamentally from those of humans. On the one hand, our finding demonstrates the ability of LLMs to manage uncertainty, calibrate risk, and adapt to changes. On the other hand, this disparity highlights the risks of relying on them as substitutes for human judgment, calling for further inquiry.
title Large Language Models are Near-Optimal Decision-Makers with a Non-Human Learning Behavior
topic Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.16163