A Quantile Regression Approach for Remaining Useful Life Estimation with State Space Models

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Frizzo, Davide, Borsatti, Francesco, Susto, Gian Antonio
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Frizzo, Davide
Borsatti, Francesco
Susto, Gian Antonio
author_facet Frizzo, Davide
Borsatti, Francesco
Susto, Gian Antonio
contents Predictive Maintenance (PdM) is pivotal in Industry 4.0 and 5.0, proactively enhancing efficiency through accurate equipment Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction, thus optimizing maintenance scheduling and reducing unexpected failures and premature interventions. This paper introduces a novel RUL estimation approach leveraging State Space Models (SSM) for efficient long-term sequence modeling. To handle model uncertainty, Simoultaneous Quantile Regression (SQR) is integrated into the SSM, enabling multiple quantile estimations. The proposed method is benchmarked against traditional sequence modelling techniques (LSTM, Transformer, Informer) using the C-MAPSS dataset. Results demonstrate superior accuracy and computational efficiency of SSM models, underscoring their potential for high-stakes industrial applications.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_17018
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Quantile Regression Approach for Remaining Useful Life Estimation with State Space Models
Frizzo, Davide
Borsatti, Francesco
Susto, Gian Antonio
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Predictive Maintenance (PdM) is pivotal in Industry 4.0 and 5.0, proactively enhancing efficiency through accurate equipment Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction, thus optimizing maintenance scheduling and reducing unexpected failures and premature interventions. This paper introduces a novel RUL estimation approach leveraging State Space Models (SSM) for efficient long-term sequence modeling. To handle model uncertainty, Simoultaneous Quantile Regression (SQR) is integrated into the SSM, enabling multiple quantile estimations. The proposed method is benchmarked against traditional sequence modelling techniques (LSTM, Transformer, Informer) using the C-MAPSS dataset. Results demonstrate superior accuracy and computational efficiency of SSM models, underscoring their potential for high-stakes industrial applications.
title A Quantile Regression Approach for Remaining Useful Life Estimation with State Space Models
topic Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.17018