Homological stability and Manin's conjecture for rational curves on quartic del Pezzo surfaces

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Das, Ronno, Lehmann, Brian, Tanimoto, Sho, Tosteson, Philip
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Das, Ronno
Lehmann, Brian
Tanimoto, Sho
Tosteson, Philip
author_facet Das, Ronno
Lehmann, Brian
Tanimoto, Sho
Tosteson, Philip
contents We prove a version of Manin's conjecture (over $\mathbb{F}_{q}$ for $q$ large) and the Cohen--Jones--Segal conjecture (over $\mathbb{C}$) for maps from rational curves to split quartic del Pezzo surfaces. The proofs share a common method which builds upon prior work of the first and fourth authors. The main ingredients of this method are (i) the construction of bar complexes formalizing the inclusion-exclusion principle and its point counting estimates, (ii) dimension estimates for spaces of rational curves using conic bundle structures, (iii) estimates of error terms using arguments of Sawin--Shusterman based on Katz's results, and (iv) a certain virtual height zeta function revealing the compatibility of bar complexes and Peyre's constant. Our argument substantiates the heuristic approach to Manin's conjecture over global function fields given by Batyrev and Ellenberg--Venkatesh in this case.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_17071
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Homological stability and Manin's conjecture for rational curves on quartic del Pezzo surfaces
Das, Ronno
Lehmann, Brian
Tanimoto, Sho
Tosteson, Philip
Algebraic Geometry
Algebraic Topology
Number Theory
We prove a version of Manin's conjecture (over $\mathbb{F}_{q}$ for $q$ large) and the Cohen--Jones--Segal conjecture (over $\mathbb{C}$) for maps from rational curves to split quartic del Pezzo surfaces. The proofs share a common method which builds upon prior work of the first and fourth authors. The main ingredients of this method are (i) the construction of bar complexes formalizing the inclusion-exclusion principle and its point counting estimates, (ii) dimension estimates for spaces of rational curves using conic bundle structures, (iii) estimates of error terms using arguments of Sawin--Shusterman based on Katz's results, and (iv) a certain virtual height zeta function revealing the compatibility of bar complexes and Peyre's constant. Our argument substantiates the heuristic approach to Manin's conjecture over global function fields given by Batyrev and Ellenberg--Venkatesh in this case.
title Homological stability and Manin's conjecture for rational curves on quartic del Pezzo surfaces
topic Algebraic Geometry
Algebraic Topology
Number Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.17071