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Main Authors: Huang, Xinghao, Tao, Shengyu, Liang, Chen, Chen, Jiawei, Shi, Junzhe, Li, Yuqi, Xia, Bizhong, Zhou, Guangmin, Zhang, Xuan
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.17755
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author Huang, Xinghao
Tao, Shengyu
Liang, Chen
Chen, Jiawei
Shi, Junzhe
Li, Yuqi
Xia, Bizhong
Zhou, Guangmin
Zhang, Xuan
author_facet Huang, Xinghao
Tao, Shengyu
Liang, Chen
Chen, Jiawei
Shi, Junzhe
Li, Yuqi
Xia, Bizhong
Zhou, Guangmin
Zhang, Xuan
contents Retired electric vehicle batteries offer immense potential to support low-carbon energy systems, but uncertainties in their degradation behavior and data inaccessibilities under second-life use pose major barriers to safe and scalable deployment. This work proposes a Physics-Informed Mixture of Experts (PIMOE) network that computes battery degradation trajectories using partial, field-accessible signals in a single cycle. PIMOE leverages an adaptive multi-degradation prediction module to classify degradation modes using expert weight synthesis underpinned by capacity-voltage and relaxation data, producing latent degradation trend embeddings. These are input to a use-dependent recurrent network for long-term trajectory prediction. Validated on 207 batteries across 77 use conditions and 67,902 cycles, PIMOE achieves an average mean absolute percentage (MAPE) errors of 0.88% with a 0.43 ms inference time. Compared to the state-of-the-art Informer and PatchTST, it reduces computational time and MAPE by 50%, respectively. Compatible with random state of charge region sampling, PIMOE supports 150-cycle forecasts with 1.50% average and 6.26% maximum MAPE, and operates effectively even with pruned 5MB training data. Broadly, PIMOE framework offers a deployable, history-free solution for battery degradation trajectory computation, redefining how second-life energy storage systems are assessed, optimized, and integrated into the sustainable energy landscape.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_17755
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Physics-informed mixture of experts network for interpretable battery degradation trajectory computation amid second-life complexities
Huang, Xinghao
Tao, Shengyu
Liang, Chen
Chen, Jiawei
Shi, Junzhe
Li, Yuqi
Xia, Bizhong
Zhou, Guangmin
Zhang, Xuan
Machine Learning
Retired electric vehicle batteries offer immense potential to support low-carbon energy systems, but uncertainties in their degradation behavior and data inaccessibilities under second-life use pose major barriers to safe and scalable deployment. This work proposes a Physics-Informed Mixture of Experts (PIMOE) network that computes battery degradation trajectories using partial, field-accessible signals in a single cycle. PIMOE leverages an adaptive multi-degradation prediction module to classify degradation modes using expert weight synthesis underpinned by capacity-voltage and relaxation data, producing latent degradation trend embeddings. These are input to a use-dependent recurrent network for long-term trajectory prediction. Validated on 207 batteries across 77 use conditions and 67,902 cycles, PIMOE achieves an average mean absolute percentage (MAPE) errors of 0.88% with a 0.43 ms inference time. Compared to the state-of-the-art Informer and PatchTST, it reduces computational time and MAPE by 50%, respectively. Compatible with random state of charge region sampling, PIMOE supports 150-cycle forecasts with 1.50% average and 6.26% maximum MAPE, and operates effectively even with pruned 5MB training data. Broadly, PIMOE framework offers a deployable, history-free solution for battery degradation trajectory computation, redefining how second-life energy storage systems are assessed, optimized, and integrated into the sustainable energy landscape.
title Physics-informed mixture of experts network for interpretable battery degradation trajectory computation amid second-life complexities
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.17755