High-Resolution Live Fuel Moisture Content (LFMC) Maps for Wildfire Risk from Multimodal Earth Observation Data

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Hauptverfasser: Johnson, Patrick Alan, Tseng, Gabriel, Zhang, Yawen, Heward, Heather, Sjahli, Virginia, Bastani, Favyen, Redmon, Joseph, Beukema, Patrick
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Johnson, Patrick Alan
Tseng, Gabriel
Zhang, Yawen
Heward, Heather
Sjahli, Virginia
Bastani, Favyen
Redmon, Joseph
Beukema, Patrick
author_facet Johnson, Patrick Alan
Tseng, Gabriel
Zhang, Yawen
Heward, Heather
Sjahli, Virginia
Bastani, Favyen
Redmon, Joseph
Beukema, Patrick
contents Wildfires are increasing in intensity and severity at an alarming rate. Recent advances in AI and publicly available satellite data enable monitoring critical wildfire risk factors globally, at high resolution and low latency. Live Fuel Moisture Content (LFMC) is a critical wildfire risk factor and is valuable for both wildfire research and operational response. However, ground-based LFMC samples are both labor intensive and costly to acquire, resulting in sparse and infrequent updates. In this work, we explore the use of a pretrained, highly-multimodal earth-observation model for generating large-scale spatially complete (wall-to-wall) LFMC maps. Our approach achieves significant improvements over previous methods using randomly initialized models (20 reduction in RMSE). We provide an automated pipeline that enables rapid generation of these LFMC maps across the United States, and demonstrate its effectiveness in two regions recently impacted by wildfire (Eaton and Palisades).
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_20132
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle High-Resolution Live Fuel Moisture Content (LFMC) Maps for Wildfire Risk from Multimodal Earth Observation Data
Johnson, Patrick Alan
Tseng, Gabriel
Zhang, Yawen
Heward, Heather
Sjahli, Virginia
Bastani, Favyen
Redmon, Joseph
Beukema, Patrick
Machine Learning
Wildfires are increasing in intensity and severity at an alarming rate. Recent advances in AI and publicly available satellite data enable monitoring critical wildfire risk factors globally, at high resolution and low latency. Live Fuel Moisture Content (LFMC) is a critical wildfire risk factor and is valuable for both wildfire research and operational response. However, ground-based LFMC samples are both labor intensive and costly to acquire, resulting in sparse and infrequent updates. In this work, we explore the use of a pretrained, highly-multimodal earth-observation model for generating large-scale spatially complete (wall-to-wall) LFMC maps. Our approach achieves significant improvements over previous methods using randomly initialized models (20 reduction in RMSE). We provide an automated pipeline that enables rapid generation of these LFMC maps across the United States, and demonstrate its effectiveness in two regions recently impacted by wildfire (Eaton and Palisades).
title High-Resolution Live Fuel Moisture Content (LFMC) Maps for Wildfire Risk from Multimodal Earth Observation Data
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.20132