Dark Classification Matters: Searching for Primordial Black Holes with LSST

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Romao, Miguel Crispim, Croon, Djuna, Crossey, Benedict, Godines, Daniel
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Romao, Miguel Crispim
Croon, Djuna
Crossey, Benedict
Godines, Daniel
author_facet Romao, Miguel Crispim
Croon, Djuna
Crossey, Benedict
Godines, Daniel
contents We present projected constraints on the abundance of primordial black holes (PBHs) as a constituent of dark matter, based on microlensing observations from the upcoming Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) at the Vera C. Rubin Observatory. We use a catalogue of microlensing light curves simulated with Rubin Observatory's OpSims to demonstrate that competitive constraints crucially rely on minimising the false positive rate (FPR) of the classification algorithm. We propose the Bayesian information criterion and a Boosted Decision Tree as effective discriminators and compare their derived efficiency and FPR to a more standard $χ^2$-test.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_20709
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Dark Classification Matters: Searching for Primordial Black Holes with LSST
Romao, Miguel Crispim
Croon, Djuna
Crossey, Benedict
Godines, Daniel
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
Solar and Stellar Astrophysics
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
High Energy Physics - Phenomenology
We present projected constraints on the abundance of primordial black holes (PBHs) as a constituent of dark matter, based on microlensing observations from the upcoming Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) at the Vera C. Rubin Observatory. We use a catalogue of microlensing light curves simulated with Rubin Observatory's OpSims to demonstrate that competitive constraints crucially rely on minimising the false positive rate (FPR) of the classification algorithm. We propose the Bayesian information criterion and a Boosted Decision Tree as effective discriminators and compare their derived efficiency and FPR to a more standard $χ^2$-test.
title Dark Classification Matters: Searching for Primordial Black Holes with LSST
topic Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
Solar and Stellar Astrophysics
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
High Energy Physics - Phenomenology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.20709