Diversity by Design: Addressing Mode Collapse Improves scRNA-seq Perturbation Modeling on Well-Calibrated Metrics

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Hauptverfasser: Mejia, Gabriel M., Miller, Henry E., Leblanc, Francis J. A., Wang, Bo, Swain, Brendan, Camillo, Lucas Paulo de Lima
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Mejia, Gabriel M.
Miller, Henry E.
Leblanc, Francis J. A.
Wang, Bo
Swain, Brendan
Camillo, Lucas Paulo de Lima
author_facet Mejia, Gabriel M.
Miller, Henry E.
Leblanc, Francis J. A.
Wang, Bo
Swain, Brendan
Camillo, Lucas Paulo de Lima
contents Recent benchmarks reveal that models for single-cell perturbation response are often outperformed by simply predicting the dataset mean. We trace this anomaly to a metric artifact: control-referenced deltas and unweighted error metrics reward mode collapse whenever the control is biased or the biological signal is sparse. Large-scale \textit{in silico} simulations and analysis of two real-world perturbation datasets confirm that shared reference shifts, not genuine biological change, drives high performance in these evaluations. We introduce differentially expressed gene (DEG)-aware metrics, weighted mean-squared error (WMSE) and weighted delta $R^{2}$ ($R^{2}_{w}(Δ)$) with respect to all perturbations, that measure error in niche signals with high sensitivity. We further introduce negative and positive performance baselines to calibrate these metrics. With these improvements, the mean baseline sinks to null performance while genuine predictors are correctly rewarded. Finally, we show that using WMSE as a loss function reduces mode collapse and improves model performance.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_22641
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Diversity by Design: Addressing Mode Collapse Improves scRNA-seq Perturbation Modeling on Well-Calibrated Metrics
Mejia, Gabriel M.
Miller, Henry E.
Leblanc, Francis J. A.
Wang, Bo
Swain, Brendan
Camillo, Lucas Paulo de Lima
Genomics
Machine Learning
Molecular Networks
Recent benchmarks reveal that models for single-cell perturbation response are often outperformed by simply predicting the dataset mean. We trace this anomaly to a metric artifact: control-referenced deltas and unweighted error metrics reward mode collapse whenever the control is biased or the biological signal is sparse. Large-scale \textit{in silico} simulations and analysis of two real-world perturbation datasets confirm that shared reference shifts, not genuine biological change, drives high performance in these evaluations. We introduce differentially expressed gene (DEG)-aware metrics, weighted mean-squared error (WMSE) and weighted delta $R^{2}$ ($R^{2}_{w}(Δ)$) with respect to all perturbations, that measure error in niche signals with high sensitivity. We further introduce negative and positive performance baselines to calibrate these metrics. With these improvements, the mean baseline sinks to null performance while genuine predictors are correctly rewarded. Finally, we show that using WMSE as a loss function reduces mode collapse and improves model performance.
title Diversity by Design: Addressing Mode Collapse Improves scRNA-seq Perturbation Modeling on Well-Calibrated Metrics
topic Genomics
Machine Learning
Molecular Networks
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.22641