The Confidence Paradox: Can LLM Know When It's Wrong

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Tripathi, Sahil, Nafis, Md Tabrez, Hussain, Imran, Gao, Jiechao
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Tripathi, Sahil
Nafis, Md Tabrez
Hussain, Imran
Gao, Jiechao
author_facet Tripathi, Sahil
Nafis, Md Tabrez
Hussain, Imran
Gao, Jiechao
contents Document Visual Question Answering (DocVQA) models often produce overconfident or ethically misaligned responses, especially under uncertainty. Existing models like LayoutLMv3, UDOP, and DONUT focus on accuracy but lack ethical calibration. We propose HonestVQA, a model-agnostic, self-supervised framework that aligns model confidence with correctness using weighted loss and contrastive learning. We introduce two new metrics Honesty Score (H-Score) and Ethical Confidence Index (ECI)-to evaluate ethical alignment. HonestVQA improves accuracy and F1 by up to 4.3% across SpDocVQA, InfographicsVQA, and SROIE datasets, while reducing overconfidence. It also generalizes well across domains, achieving 78.9% accuracy and 76.1% F1-score.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2506_23464
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Confidence Paradox: Can LLM Know When It's Wrong
Tripathi, Sahil
Nafis, Md Tabrez
Hussain, Imran
Gao, Jiechao
Artificial Intelligence
Document Visual Question Answering (DocVQA) models often produce overconfident or ethically misaligned responses, especially under uncertainty. Existing models like LayoutLMv3, UDOP, and DONUT focus on accuracy but lack ethical calibration. We propose HonestVQA, a model-agnostic, self-supervised framework that aligns model confidence with correctness using weighted loss and contrastive learning. We introduce two new metrics Honesty Score (H-Score) and Ethical Confidence Index (ECI)-to evaluate ethical alignment. HonestVQA improves accuracy and F1 by up to 4.3% across SpDocVQA, InfographicsVQA, and SROIE datasets, while reducing overconfidence. It also generalizes well across domains, achieving 78.9% accuracy and 76.1% F1-score.
title The Confidence Paradox: Can LLM Know When It's Wrong
topic Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.23464