Uniform Validity of the Subset Anderson-Rubin Test under Heteroskedasticity and Nonlinearity

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Inoue, Atsushi, Jordà, Òscar, Kuersteiner, Guido M.
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Inoue, Atsushi
Jordà, Òscar
Kuersteiner, Guido M.
author_facet Inoue, Atsushi
Jordà, Òscar
Kuersteiner, Guido M.
contents We consider the Anderson-Rubin (AR) statistic for a general set of nonlinear moment restrictions. The statistic is based on the criterion function of the continuous updating estimator (CUE) for a subset of parameters not constrained under the Null. We treat the data distribution nonparametrically with parametric moment restrictions imposed under the Null. We show that subset tests and confidence intervals based on the AR statistic are uniformly valid over a wide range of distributions that include moment restrictions with general forms of heteroskedasticity. We show that the AR based tests have correct asymptotic size when parameters are unidentified, partially identified, weakly or strongly identified. We obtain these results by constructing an upper bound that is using a novel perturbation and regularization approach applied to the first order conditions of the CUE. Our theory applies to both cross-sections and time series data and does not assume stationarity in time series settings or homogeneity in cross-sectional settings.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_01167
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Uniform Validity of the Subset Anderson-Rubin Test under Heteroskedasticity and Nonlinearity
Inoue, Atsushi
Jordà, Òscar
Kuersteiner, Guido M.
Econometrics
Statistics Theory
62E20, 62M10, 62P20
We consider the Anderson-Rubin (AR) statistic for a general set of nonlinear moment restrictions. The statistic is based on the criterion function of the continuous updating estimator (CUE) for a subset of parameters not constrained under the Null. We treat the data distribution nonparametrically with parametric moment restrictions imposed under the Null. We show that subset tests and confidence intervals based on the AR statistic are uniformly valid over a wide range of distributions that include moment restrictions with general forms of heteroskedasticity. We show that the AR based tests have correct asymptotic size when parameters are unidentified, partially identified, weakly or strongly identified. We obtain these results by constructing an upper bound that is using a novel perturbation and regularization approach applied to the first order conditions of the CUE. Our theory applies to both cross-sections and time series data and does not assume stationarity in time series settings or homogeneity in cross-sectional settings.
title Uniform Validity of the Subset Anderson-Rubin Test under Heteroskedasticity and Nonlinearity
topic Econometrics
Statistics Theory
62E20, 62M10, 62P20
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.01167