Out-of-Distribution Detection Methods Answer the Wrong Questions

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Li, Yucen Lily, Lu, Daohan, Kirichenko, Polina, Qiu, Shikai, Rudner, Tim G. J., Bruss, C. Bayan, Wilson, Andrew Gordon
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Li, Yucen Lily
Lu, Daohan
Kirichenko, Polina
Qiu, Shikai
Rudner, Tim G. J.
Bruss, C. Bayan
Wilson, Andrew Gordon
author_facet Li, Yucen Lily
Lu, Daohan
Kirichenko, Polina
Qiu, Shikai
Rudner, Tim G. J.
Bruss, C. Bayan
Wilson, Andrew Gordon
contents To detect distribution shifts and improve model safety, many out-of-distribution (OOD) detection methods rely on the predictive uncertainty or features of supervised models trained on in-distribution data. In this paper, we critically re-examine this popular family of OOD detection procedures, and we argue that these methods are fundamentally answering the wrong questions for OOD detection. There is no simple fix to this misalignment, since a classifier trained only on in-distribution classes cannot be expected to identify OOD points; for instance, a cat-dog classifier may confidently misclassify an airplane if it contains features that distinguish cats from dogs, despite generally appearing nothing alike. We find that uncertainty-based methods incorrectly conflate high uncertainty with being OOD, while feature-based methods incorrectly conflate far feature-space distance with being OOD. We show how these pathologies manifest as irreducible errors in OOD detection and identify common settings where these methods are ineffective. Additionally, interventions to improve OOD detection such as feature-logit hybrid methods, scaling of model and data size, epistemic uncertainty representation, and outlier exposure also fail to address this fundamental misalignment in objectives. We additionally consider unsupervised density estimation and generative models for OOD detection, which we show have their own fundamental limitations.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_01831
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Out-of-Distribution Detection Methods Answer the Wrong Questions
Li, Yucen Lily
Lu, Daohan
Kirichenko, Polina
Qiu, Shikai
Rudner, Tim G. J.
Bruss, C. Bayan
Wilson, Andrew Gordon
Machine Learning
To detect distribution shifts and improve model safety, many out-of-distribution (OOD) detection methods rely on the predictive uncertainty or features of supervised models trained on in-distribution data. In this paper, we critically re-examine this popular family of OOD detection procedures, and we argue that these methods are fundamentally answering the wrong questions for OOD detection. There is no simple fix to this misalignment, since a classifier trained only on in-distribution classes cannot be expected to identify OOD points; for instance, a cat-dog classifier may confidently misclassify an airplane if it contains features that distinguish cats from dogs, despite generally appearing nothing alike. We find that uncertainty-based methods incorrectly conflate high uncertainty with being OOD, while feature-based methods incorrectly conflate far feature-space distance with being OOD. We show how these pathologies manifest as irreducible errors in OOD detection and identify common settings where these methods are ineffective. Additionally, interventions to improve OOD detection such as feature-logit hybrid methods, scaling of model and data size, epistemic uncertainty representation, and outlier exposure also fail to address this fundamental misalignment in objectives. We additionally consider unsupervised density estimation and generative models for OOD detection, which we show have their own fundamental limitations.
title Out-of-Distribution Detection Methods Answer the Wrong Questions
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.01831