NGAT: A Node-level Graph Attention Network for Long-term Stock Prediction

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Niu, Yingjie, Zhao, Mingchuan, Poti, Valerio, Dong, Ruihai
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Niu, Yingjie
Zhao, Mingchuan
Poti, Valerio
Dong, Ruihai
author_facet Niu, Yingjie
Zhao, Mingchuan
Poti, Valerio
Dong, Ruihai
contents Graph representation learning methods have been widely adopted in financial applications to enhance company representations by leveraging inter-firm relationships. However, current approaches face three key challenges: (1) The advantages of relational information are obscured by limitations in downstream task designs; (2) Existing graph models specifically designed for stock prediction often suffer from excessive complexity and poor generalization; (3) Experience-based construction of corporate relationship graphs lacks effective comparison of different graph structures. To address these limitations, we propose a long-term stock prediction task and develop a Node-level Graph Attention Network (NGAT) specifically tailored for corporate relationship graphs. Furthermore, we experimentally demonstrate the limitations of existing graph comparison methods based on model downstream task performance. Experimental results across two datasets consistently demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed task and model. The project is publicly available on GitHub to encourage reproducibility and future research.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_02018
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle NGAT: A Node-level Graph Attention Network for Long-term Stock Prediction
Niu, Yingjie
Zhao, Mingchuan
Poti, Valerio
Dong, Ruihai
Statistical Finance
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
I.2.1
Graph representation learning methods have been widely adopted in financial applications to enhance company representations by leveraging inter-firm relationships. However, current approaches face three key challenges: (1) The advantages of relational information are obscured by limitations in downstream task designs; (2) Existing graph models specifically designed for stock prediction often suffer from excessive complexity and poor generalization; (3) Experience-based construction of corporate relationship graphs lacks effective comparison of different graph structures. To address these limitations, we propose a long-term stock prediction task and develop a Node-level Graph Attention Network (NGAT) specifically tailored for corporate relationship graphs. Furthermore, we experimentally demonstrate the limitations of existing graph comparison methods based on model downstream task performance. Experimental results across two datasets consistently demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed task and model. The project is publicly available on GitHub to encourage reproducibility and future research.
title NGAT: A Node-level Graph Attention Network for Long-term Stock Prediction
topic Statistical Finance
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
I.2.1
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.02018