Detection of Disengagement from Voluntary Quizzes: An Explainable Machine Learning Approach in Higher Distance Education

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Parsaeifard, Behnam, Imhof, Christof, Pancar, Tansu, Comsa, Ioan-Sorin, Hlosta, Martin, Bergamin, Nicole, Bergamin, Per
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Parsaeifard, Behnam
Imhof, Christof
Pancar, Tansu
Comsa, Ioan-Sorin
Hlosta, Martin
Bergamin, Nicole
Bergamin, Per
author_facet Parsaeifard, Behnam
Imhof, Christof
Pancar, Tansu
Comsa, Ioan-Sorin
Hlosta, Martin
Bergamin, Nicole
Bergamin, Per
contents Students disengaging from their tasks can have serious long-term consequences, including academic drop-out. This is particularly relevant for students in distance education. One way to measure the level of disengagement in distance education is to observe participation in non-mandatory exercises in different online courses. In this paper, we detect student disengagement in the non-mandatory quizzes of 42 courses in four semesters from a distance-based university. We carefully identified the most informative student log data that could be extracted and processed from Moodle. Then, eight machine learning algorithms were trained and compared to obtain the highest possible prediction accuracy. Using the SHAP method, we developed an explainable machine learning framework that allows practitioners to better understand the decisions of the trained algorithm. The experimental results show a balanced accuracy of 91\%, where about 85\% of disengaged students were correctly detected. On top of the highly predictive performance and explainable framework, we provide a discussion on how to design a timely intervention to minimise disengagement from voluntary tasks in online learning.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_02681
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Detection of Disengagement from Voluntary Quizzes: An Explainable Machine Learning Approach in Higher Distance Education
Parsaeifard, Behnam
Imhof, Christof
Pancar, Tansu
Comsa, Ioan-Sorin
Hlosta, Martin
Bergamin, Nicole
Bergamin, Per
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Students disengaging from their tasks can have serious long-term consequences, including academic drop-out. This is particularly relevant for students in distance education. One way to measure the level of disengagement in distance education is to observe participation in non-mandatory exercises in different online courses. In this paper, we detect student disengagement in the non-mandatory quizzes of 42 courses in four semesters from a distance-based university. We carefully identified the most informative student log data that could be extracted and processed from Moodle. Then, eight machine learning algorithms were trained and compared to obtain the highest possible prediction accuracy. Using the SHAP method, we developed an explainable machine learning framework that allows practitioners to better understand the decisions of the trained algorithm. The experimental results show a balanced accuracy of 91\%, where about 85\% of disengaged students were correctly detected. On top of the highly predictive performance and explainable framework, we provide a discussion on how to design a timely intervention to minimise disengagement from voluntary tasks in online learning.
title Detection of Disengagement from Voluntary Quizzes: An Explainable Machine Learning Approach in Higher Distance Education
topic Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.02681