Network Behavioral-Feedback SIR Epidemic Model

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Alutto, Martina, Cianfanelli, Leonardo, Como, Giacomo, Fagnani, Fabio
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Alutto, Martina
Cianfanelli, Leonardo
Como, Giacomo
Fagnani, Fabio
author_facet Alutto, Martina
Cianfanelli, Leonardo
Como, Giacomo
Fagnani, Fabio
contents We propose a network behavioral-feedback Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model in which the interaction matrix describing the infection rates across subpopulations depends in feedback on the current epidemic state. This model captures both heterogeneities in individuals mixing, contact frequency, aptitude to contract and spread the infection, and endogenous behavioral responses such as voluntary social distancing and the adoption of self-protective measures. We study the stability of the equilibria and illustrate through several examples how the shape of the stability region depends on the structure of the interaction matrix, providing insights for the design of effective control strategies. We then analyze the transient behavior of the dynamics, showing that, for a special class of rank-1 interaction matrices, there always exists an aggregate infection curve that exhibits a unimodal behavior, expanding the results on the unimodality of infection curve known in the literature of epidemic models and paving the way for future control applications.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_03852
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Network Behavioral-Feedback SIR Epidemic Model
Alutto, Martina
Cianfanelli, Leonardo
Como, Giacomo
Fagnani, Fabio
Dynamical Systems
Optimization and Control
Populations and Evolution
We propose a network behavioral-feedback Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model in which the interaction matrix describing the infection rates across subpopulations depends in feedback on the current epidemic state. This model captures both heterogeneities in individuals mixing, contact frequency, aptitude to contract and spread the infection, and endogenous behavioral responses such as voluntary social distancing and the adoption of self-protective measures. We study the stability of the equilibria and illustrate through several examples how the shape of the stability region depends on the structure of the interaction matrix, providing insights for the design of effective control strategies. We then analyze the transient behavior of the dynamics, showing that, for a special class of rank-1 interaction matrices, there always exists an aggregate infection curve that exhibits a unimodal behavior, expanding the results on the unimodality of infection curve known in the literature of epidemic models and paving the way for future control applications.
title Network Behavioral-Feedback SIR Epidemic Model
topic Dynamical Systems
Optimization and Control
Populations and Evolution
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.03852