City-Level Foreign Direct Investment Prediction with Tabular Learning on Judicial Data

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Wu, Tianxing, Cao, Lizhe, Wang, Shuang, Wang, Jiming, Zhu, Shutong, Wu, Yerong, Feng, Yuqing
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Wu, Tianxing
Cao, Lizhe
Wang, Shuang
Wang, Jiming
Zhu, Shutong
Wu, Yerong
Feng, Yuqing
author_facet Wu, Tianxing
Cao, Lizhe
Wang, Shuang
Wang, Jiming
Zhu, Shutong
Wu, Yerong
Feng, Yuqing
contents To advance the United Nations Sustainable Development Goal on promoting sustained, inclusive, and sustainable economic growth, foreign direct investment (FDI) plays a crucial role in catalyzing economic expansion and fostering innovation. Precise city-level FDI prediction is quite important for local government and is commonly studied based on economic data (e.g., GDP). However, such economic data could be prone to manipulation, making predictions less reliable. To address this issue, we try to leverage large-scale judicial data which reflects judicial performance influencing local investment security and returns, for city-level FDI prediction. Based on this, we first build an index system for the evaluation of judicial performance over twelve million publicly available adjudication documents according to which a tabular dataset is reformulated. We then propose a new Tabular Learning method on Judicial Data (TLJD) for city-level FDI prediction. TLJD integrates row data and column data in our built tabular dataset for judicial performance indicator encoding, and utilizes a mixture of experts model to adjust the weights of different indicators considering regional variations. To validate the effectiveness of TLJD, we design cross-city and cross-time tasks for city-level FDI predictions. Extensive experiments on both tasks demonstrate the superiority of TLJD (reach to at least 0.92 R2) over the other ten state-of-the-art baselines in different evaluation metrics.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_05651
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle City-Level Foreign Direct Investment Prediction with Tabular Learning on Judicial Data
Wu, Tianxing
Cao, Lizhe
Wang, Shuang
Wang, Jiming
Zhu, Shutong
Wu, Yerong
Feng, Yuqing
Artificial Intelligence
To advance the United Nations Sustainable Development Goal on promoting sustained, inclusive, and sustainable economic growth, foreign direct investment (FDI) plays a crucial role in catalyzing economic expansion and fostering innovation. Precise city-level FDI prediction is quite important for local government and is commonly studied based on economic data (e.g., GDP). However, such economic data could be prone to manipulation, making predictions less reliable. To address this issue, we try to leverage large-scale judicial data which reflects judicial performance influencing local investment security and returns, for city-level FDI prediction. Based on this, we first build an index system for the evaluation of judicial performance over twelve million publicly available adjudication documents according to which a tabular dataset is reformulated. We then propose a new Tabular Learning method on Judicial Data (TLJD) for city-level FDI prediction. TLJD integrates row data and column data in our built tabular dataset for judicial performance indicator encoding, and utilizes a mixture of experts model to adjust the weights of different indicators considering regional variations. To validate the effectiveness of TLJD, we design cross-city and cross-time tasks for city-level FDI predictions. Extensive experiments on both tasks demonstrate the superiority of TLJD (reach to at least 0.92 R2) over the other ten state-of-the-art baselines in different evaluation metrics.
title City-Level Foreign Direct Investment Prediction with Tabular Learning on Judicial Data
topic Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.05651