Enhancing Signal Proportion Estimation Through Leveraging Arbitrary Covariance Structures

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Hauptverfasser: Bai, Jingtian, Jeng, Xinge Jessie
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Bai, Jingtian
Jeng, Xinge Jessie
author_facet Bai, Jingtian
Jeng, Xinge Jessie
contents Accurately estimating the proportion of true signals among a large number of variables is crucial for enhancing the precision and reliability of scientific research. Traditional signal proportion estimators often assume independence among variables and specific signal sparsity conditions, limiting their applicability in real-world scenarios where such assumptions may not hold. This paper introduces a novel signal proportion estimator that leverages arbitrary covariance dependence information among variables, thereby improving performance across a wide range of sparsity levels and dependence structures. Building on previous work that provides lower confidence bounds for signal proportions, we extend this approach by incorporating the principal factor approximation procedure to account for variable dependence. Our theoretical insights offer a deeper understanding of how signal sparsity, signal intensity, and covariance dependence interact. By comparing the conditions for estimation consistency before and after dependence adjustment, we highlight the advantages of integrating dependence information across different contexts. This theoretical foundation not only validates the effectiveness of the new estimator but also guides its practical application, ensuring reliable use in diverse scenarios. Through extensive simulations, we demonstrate that our method outperforms state-of-the-art estimators in both estimation accuracy and the detection of weaker signals that might otherwise go undetected.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_11922
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Enhancing Signal Proportion Estimation Through Leveraging Arbitrary Covariance Structures
Bai, Jingtian
Jeng, Xinge Jessie
Statistics Theory
Methodology
Machine Learning
Accurately estimating the proportion of true signals among a large number of variables is crucial for enhancing the precision and reliability of scientific research. Traditional signal proportion estimators often assume independence among variables and specific signal sparsity conditions, limiting their applicability in real-world scenarios where such assumptions may not hold. This paper introduces a novel signal proportion estimator that leverages arbitrary covariance dependence information among variables, thereby improving performance across a wide range of sparsity levels and dependence structures. Building on previous work that provides lower confidence bounds for signal proportions, we extend this approach by incorporating the principal factor approximation procedure to account for variable dependence. Our theoretical insights offer a deeper understanding of how signal sparsity, signal intensity, and covariance dependence interact. By comparing the conditions for estimation consistency before and after dependence adjustment, we highlight the advantages of integrating dependence information across different contexts. This theoretical foundation not only validates the effectiveness of the new estimator but also guides its practical application, ensuring reliable use in diverse scenarios. Through extensive simulations, we demonstrate that our method outperforms state-of-the-art estimators in both estimation accuracy and the detection of weaker signals that might otherwise go undetected.
title Enhancing Signal Proportion Estimation Through Leveraging Arbitrary Covariance Structures
topic Statistics Theory
Methodology
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.11922