A Translation of Probabilistic Event Calculus into Markov Decision Processes

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Xu, Lyris, D'Asaro, Fabio Aurelio, Dickens, Luke
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Xu, Lyris
D'Asaro, Fabio Aurelio
Dickens, Luke
author_facet Xu, Lyris
D'Asaro, Fabio Aurelio
Dickens, Luke
contents Probabilistic Event Calculus (PEC) is a logical framework for reasoning about actions and their effects in uncertain environments, which enables the representation of probabilistic narratives and computation of temporal projections. The PEC formalism offers significant advantages in interpretability and expressiveness for narrative reasoning. However, it lacks mechanisms for goal-directed reasoning. This paper bridges this gap by developing a formal translation of PEC domains into Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), introducing the concept of "action-taking situations" to preserve PEC's flexible action semantics. The resulting PEC-MDP formalism enables the extensive collection of algorithms and theoretical tools developed for MDPs to be applied to PEC's interpretable narrative domains. We demonstrate how the translation supports both temporal reasoning tasks and objective-driven planning, with methods for mapping learned policies back into human-readable PEC representations, maintaining interpretability while extending PEC's capabilities.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_12989
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Translation of Probabilistic Event Calculus into Markov Decision Processes
Xu, Lyris
D'Asaro, Fabio Aurelio
Dickens, Luke
Artificial Intelligence
Logic in Computer Science
Probabilistic Event Calculus (PEC) is a logical framework for reasoning about actions and their effects in uncertain environments, which enables the representation of probabilistic narratives and computation of temporal projections. The PEC formalism offers significant advantages in interpretability and expressiveness for narrative reasoning. However, it lacks mechanisms for goal-directed reasoning. This paper bridges this gap by developing a formal translation of PEC domains into Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), introducing the concept of "action-taking situations" to preserve PEC's flexible action semantics. The resulting PEC-MDP formalism enables the extensive collection of algorithms and theoretical tools developed for MDPs to be applied to PEC's interpretable narrative domains. We demonstrate how the translation supports both temporal reasoning tasks and objective-driven planning, with methods for mapping learned policies back into human-readable PEC representations, maintaining interpretability while extending PEC's capabilities.
title A Translation of Probabilistic Event Calculus into Markov Decision Processes
topic Artificial Intelligence
Logic in Computer Science
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.12989