Testing the Origin of Hot Jupiters with Atmospheric Surveys

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Main Authors: D'Aoust, Lina, Coull-Neveu, Ben, Lee, Eve J., Cowan, Nicolas B.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author D'Aoust, Lina
Coull-Neveu, Ben
Lee, Eve J.
Cowan, Nicolas B.
author_facet D'Aoust, Lina
Coull-Neveu, Ben
Lee, Eve J.
Cowan, Nicolas B.
contents In spite of their long detection history, the origin of hot Jupiters remains to be resolved. While multiple dynamical evidence suggests high-eccentricity migration is most likely, conflicts remain when considering hot Jupiters as a population in the context of warm and cold Jupiters. Here, we turn to atmospheric signatures as an alternative mean to test the origin theory of hot Jupiters, focusing on population level trends that arise from post-formation pollution, motivated by the upcoming Ariel space mission whose goal is to deliver a uniform sample of exoplanet atmospheric constraints. We experiment with post-formation pollution by planetesimal accretion, pebble accretion, and disk-induced migration and find that an observable signature of post-formation pollution is only possible under pebble accretion in metal-heavy disks. If most hot Jupiters arrive at their present orbit by high-eccentricity migration while warm Jupiters emerge largely in situ, we expect the atmospheric water abundance of hot Jupiters to be significantly elevated compared to warm Jupiters. We report on the detectability of such signatures and further provide suggestions for future comparative atmospheric characterization between hot Jupiters and wide-orbit directly imaged planets to elucidate the properties of the dust substructures in protoplanetary disks.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_13446
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Testing the Origin of Hot Jupiters with Atmospheric Surveys
D'Aoust, Lina
Coull-Neveu, Ben
Lee, Eve J.
Cowan, Nicolas B.
Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
In spite of their long detection history, the origin of hot Jupiters remains to be resolved. While multiple dynamical evidence suggests high-eccentricity migration is most likely, conflicts remain when considering hot Jupiters as a population in the context of warm and cold Jupiters. Here, we turn to atmospheric signatures as an alternative mean to test the origin theory of hot Jupiters, focusing on population level trends that arise from post-formation pollution, motivated by the upcoming Ariel space mission whose goal is to deliver a uniform sample of exoplanet atmospheric constraints. We experiment with post-formation pollution by planetesimal accretion, pebble accretion, and disk-induced migration and find that an observable signature of post-formation pollution is only possible under pebble accretion in metal-heavy disks. If most hot Jupiters arrive at their present orbit by high-eccentricity migration while warm Jupiters emerge largely in situ, we expect the atmospheric water abundance of hot Jupiters to be significantly elevated compared to warm Jupiters. We report on the detectability of such signatures and further provide suggestions for future comparative atmospheric characterization between hot Jupiters and wide-orbit directly imaged planets to elucidate the properties of the dust substructures in protoplanetary disks.
title Testing the Origin of Hot Jupiters with Atmospheric Surveys
topic Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.13446