Inference on Nonlinear Counterfactual Functionals under a Multiplicative IV Model

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Lee, Yonghoon, Yu, Mengxin, Liu, Jiewen, Park, Chan, Zhang, Yunshu, Robins, James M., Tchetgen, Eric J. Tchetgen
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Lee, Yonghoon
Yu, Mengxin
Liu, Jiewen
Park, Chan
Zhang, Yunshu
Robins, James M.
Tchetgen, Eric J. Tchetgen
author_facet Lee, Yonghoon
Yu, Mengxin
Liu, Jiewen
Park, Chan
Zhang, Yunshu
Robins, James M.
Tchetgen, Eric J. Tchetgen
contents Instrumental variable (IV) methods play a central role in causal inference, particularly in settings where treatment assignment is confounded by unobserved variables. IV methods have been extensively developed in recent years and applied across diverse domains, from economics to epidemiology. In this work, we study the recently introduced multiplicative IV (MIV) model and demonstrate its utility for causal inference beyond the average treatment effect. In particular, we show that it enables identification and inference for a broad class of counterfactual functionals characterized by moment equations. This includes, for example, inference on quantile treatment effects. We develop methods for efficient and multiply robust estimation of such functionals, and provide inference procedures with asymptotic validity. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed procedure performs well even with moderate sample sizes.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_15612
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Inference on Nonlinear Counterfactual Functionals under a Multiplicative IV Model
Lee, Yonghoon
Yu, Mengxin
Liu, Jiewen
Park, Chan
Zhang, Yunshu
Robins, James M.
Tchetgen, Eric J. Tchetgen
Methodology
Instrumental variable (IV) methods play a central role in causal inference, particularly in settings where treatment assignment is confounded by unobserved variables. IV methods have been extensively developed in recent years and applied across diverse domains, from economics to epidemiology. In this work, we study the recently introduced multiplicative IV (MIV) model and demonstrate its utility for causal inference beyond the average treatment effect. In particular, we show that it enables identification and inference for a broad class of counterfactual functionals characterized by moment equations. This includes, for example, inference on quantile treatment effects. We develop methods for efficient and multiply robust estimation of such functionals, and provide inference procedures with asymptotic validity. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed procedure performs well even with moderate sample sizes.
title Inference on Nonlinear Counterfactual Functionals under a Multiplicative IV Model
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.15612