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Autori principali: Tian, Zhaoyang, Liang, Kun, Li, Pengfei
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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Accesso online:https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.15623
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author Tian, Zhaoyang
Liang, Kun
Li, Pengfei
author_facet Tian, Zhaoyang
Liang, Kun
Li, Pengfei
contents Malaria can be diagnosed by the presence of parasites and symptoms (usually fever) due to the parasites. In endemic areas, however, an individual may have fever attributable either to malaria or to other causes. Thus, the parasite level of an individual with fever follows a two-component mixture, with the two components corresponding to malaria and nonmalaria individuals. Furthermore, the parasite levels of nonmalaria individuals can be characterized as a mixture of a zero component and a positive distribution. In this article, we propose a nonparametric maximum multinomial likelihood approach for estimating the proportion of malaria using parasite-level data from two groups of individuals collected in two different seasons. We develop an EM-algorithm to numerically calculate the proposed estimates and further establish their convergence rates. Simulation results show that the proposed estimators are more efficient than existing nonparametric estimators. The proposed method is used to analyze a malaria survey data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_15623
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Maximum multinomial likelihood estimation in compound mixture model with application to malaria study
Tian, Zhaoyang
Liang, Kun
Li, Pengfei
Methodology
Malaria can be diagnosed by the presence of parasites and symptoms (usually fever) due to the parasites. In endemic areas, however, an individual may have fever attributable either to malaria or to other causes. Thus, the parasite level of an individual with fever follows a two-component mixture, with the two components corresponding to malaria and nonmalaria individuals. Furthermore, the parasite levels of nonmalaria individuals can be characterized as a mixture of a zero component and a positive distribution. In this article, we propose a nonparametric maximum multinomial likelihood approach for estimating the proportion of malaria using parasite-level data from two groups of individuals collected in two different seasons. We develop an EM-algorithm to numerically calculate the proposed estimates and further establish their convergence rates. Simulation results show that the proposed estimators are more efficient than existing nonparametric estimators. The proposed method is used to analyze a malaria survey data.
title Maximum multinomial likelihood estimation in compound mixture model with application to malaria study
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.15623