Confidence Calibration in Vision-Language-Action Models

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Zollo, Thomas P, Zemel, Richard
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Zollo, Thomas P
Zemel, Richard
author_facet Zollo, Thomas P
Zemel, Richard
contents Trustworthy robot behavior requires not only high levels of task success but also that the robot can reliably quantify how likely it is to succeed. To this end, we present a first-of-its-kind study of confidence calibration in vision-language-action (VLA) foundation models, which map visual observations and natural language instructions to low-level robot motor commands. We establish a confidence baseline for VLAs, examine how task success relates to calibration error and how calibration evolves over time, and introduce two lightweight techniques to remedy the miscalibration we observe: prompt ensembles and action-wise Platt scaling. Our aim in this study is to begin to develop the tools and conceptual understanding necessary to render VLAs both highly performant and highly trustworthy via reliable uncertainty quantification.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_17383
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Confidence Calibration in Vision-Language-Action Models
Zollo, Thomas P
Zemel, Richard
Robotics
Machine Learning
Trustworthy robot behavior requires not only high levels of task success but also that the robot can reliably quantify how likely it is to succeed. To this end, we present a first-of-its-kind study of confidence calibration in vision-language-action (VLA) foundation models, which map visual observations and natural language instructions to low-level robot motor commands. We establish a confidence baseline for VLAs, examine how task success relates to calibration error and how calibration evolves over time, and introduce two lightweight techniques to remedy the miscalibration we observe: prompt ensembles and action-wise Platt scaling. Our aim in this study is to begin to develop the tools and conceptual understanding necessary to render VLAs both highly performant and highly trustworthy via reliable uncertainty quantification.
title Confidence Calibration in Vision-Language-Action Models
topic Robotics
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.17383