Leveraging Data Augmentation and Siamese Learning for Predictive Process Monitoring

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: van Straten, Sjoerd, Padella, Alessandro, Hassani, Marwan
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author van Straten, Sjoerd
Padella, Alessandro
Hassani, Marwan
author_facet van Straten, Sjoerd
Padella, Alessandro
Hassani, Marwan
contents Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) enables forecasting future events or outcomes of ongoing business process instances based on event logs. However, deep learning PPM approaches are often limited by the low variability and small size of real-world event logs. To address this, we introduce SiamSA-PPM, a novel self-supervised learning framework that combines Siamese learning with Statistical Augmentation for Predictive Process Monitoring. It employs three novel statistically grounded transformation methods that leverage control-flow semantics and frequent behavioral patterns to generate realistic, semantically valid new trace variants. These augmented views are used within a Siamese learning setup to learn generalizable representations of process prefixes without the need for labeled supervision. Extensive experiments on real-life event logs demonstrate that SiamSA-PPM achieves competitive or superior performance compared to the SOTA in both next activity and final outcome prediction tasks. Our results further show that statistical augmentation significantly outperforms random transformations and improves variability in the data, highlighting SiamSA-PPM as a promising direction for training data enrichment in process prediction.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_18293
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Leveraging Data Augmentation and Siamese Learning for Predictive Process Monitoring
van Straten, Sjoerd
Padella, Alessandro
Hassani, Marwan
Machine Learning
Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) enables forecasting future events or outcomes of ongoing business process instances based on event logs. However, deep learning PPM approaches are often limited by the low variability and small size of real-world event logs. To address this, we introduce SiamSA-PPM, a novel self-supervised learning framework that combines Siamese learning with Statistical Augmentation for Predictive Process Monitoring. It employs three novel statistically grounded transformation methods that leverage control-flow semantics and frequent behavioral patterns to generate realistic, semantically valid new trace variants. These augmented views are used within a Siamese learning setup to learn generalizable representations of process prefixes without the need for labeled supervision. Extensive experiments on real-life event logs demonstrate that SiamSA-PPM achieves competitive or superior performance compared to the SOTA in both next activity and final outcome prediction tasks. Our results further show that statistical augmentation significantly outperforms random transformations and improves variability in the data, highlighting SiamSA-PPM as a promising direction for training data enrichment in process prediction.
title Leveraging Data Augmentation and Siamese Learning for Predictive Process Monitoring
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.18293