Omnibus goodness-of-fit tests for univariate continuous distributions based on trigonometric moments
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arXiv
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| Natura: | Preprint |
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2025
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| author | Desgagné, Alain Ouimet, Frédéric |
| author_facet | Desgagné, Alain Ouimet, Frédéric |
| contents | We propose a new omnibus goodness-of-fit test based on trigonometric moments of probability-integral-transformed data. The test builds on the framework of the LK test introduced by Langholz and Kronmal [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 86 (1991), 1077-1084], but fully exploits the covariance structure of the associated trigonometric statistics. As a result, our test statistic converges under the null hypothesis to a $χ_2^2$ distribution, even in the presence of nuisance parameters, yielding a well-calibrated rejection region. We derive the exact asymptotic covariance matrix required for normalization and propose a unified approach to computing the LK normalizing scalar. The applicability of both the proposed test and the LK test is substantially expanded by providing implementation details for 11 families of continuous distributions, covering most commonly used parametric models. Simulation studies demonstrate accurate empirical size, close to the nominal level, and strong power properties, yielding fully plug-and-play procedures. Further insight is provided by an analysis under local alternatives. The methodology is illustrated using surface temperature forecast errors from a numerical weather prediction model. |
| format | Preprint |
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arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_18591 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Omnibus goodness-of-fit tests for univariate continuous distributions based on trigonometric moments Desgagné, Alain Ouimet, Frédéric Methodology Statistics Theory Applications 62F03, 60F05, 62E20, 62F12, 62H10, 62H12, 62H15 We propose a new omnibus goodness-of-fit test based on trigonometric moments of probability-integral-transformed data. The test builds on the framework of the LK test introduced by Langholz and Kronmal [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 86 (1991), 1077-1084], but fully exploits the covariance structure of the associated trigonometric statistics. As a result, our test statistic converges under the null hypothesis to a $χ_2^2$ distribution, even in the presence of nuisance parameters, yielding a well-calibrated rejection region. We derive the exact asymptotic covariance matrix required for normalization and propose a unified approach to computing the LK normalizing scalar. The applicability of both the proposed test and the LK test is substantially expanded by providing implementation details for 11 families of continuous distributions, covering most commonly used parametric models. Simulation studies demonstrate accurate empirical size, close to the nominal level, and strong power properties, yielding fully plug-and-play procedures. Further insight is provided by an analysis under local alternatives. The methodology is illustrated using surface temperature forecast errors from a numerical weather prediction model. |
| title | Omnibus goodness-of-fit tests for univariate continuous distributions based on trigonometric moments |
| topic | Methodology Statistics Theory Applications 62F03, 60F05, 62E20, 62F12, 62H10, 62H12, 62H15 |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.18591 |