Integrating Activity Predictions in Knowledge Graphs

Fuente: arXiv
Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
Hauptverfasser: Hare, Forrest, Sculley, Alec, Stockton, Cameron
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:
Tags: Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
_version_ 1866914046768316416
author Hare, Forrest
Sculley, Alec
Stockton, Cameron
author_facet Hare, Forrest
Sculley, Alec
Stockton, Cameron
contents We argue that ontology-structured knowledge graphs can play a crucial role in generating predictions about future events. By leveraging the semantic framework provided by Basic Formal Ontology (BFO) and Common Core Ontologies (CCO), we demonstrate how data such as the movements of a fishing vessel can be organized in and retrieved from a knowledge graph. These query results are then used to create Markov chain models, allowing us to predict future states based on the vessel's history. To fully support this process, we introduce the term `spatiotemporal instant' to complete the necessary structural semantics. Additionally, we critique the prevailing ontological model of probability, according to which probabilities are about the future. We propose an alternative view, where at least some probabilities are treated as being about actual process profiles, which better captures the dynamics of real-world phenomena. Finally, we demonstrate how our Markov chain-based probability calculations can be seamlessly integrated back into the knowledge graph, enabling further analysis and decision-making.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_19733
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Integrating Activity Predictions in Knowledge Graphs
Hare, Forrest
Sculley, Alec
Stockton, Cameron
Artificial Intelligence
Databases
We argue that ontology-structured knowledge graphs can play a crucial role in generating predictions about future events. By leveraging the semantic framework provided by Basic Formal Ontology (BFO) and Common Core Ontologies (CCO), we demonstrate how data such as the movements of a fishing vessel can be organized in and retrieved from a knowledge graph. These query results are then used to create Markov chain models, allowing us to predict future states based on the vessel's history. To fully support this process, we introduce the term `spatiotemporal instant' to complete the necessary structural semantics. Additionally, we critique the prevailing ontological model of probability, according to which probabilities are about the future. We propose an alternative view, where at least some probabilities are treated as being about actual process profiles, which better captures the dynamics of real-world phenomena. Finally, we demonstrate how our Markov chain-based probability calculations can be seamlessly integrated back into the knowledge graph, enabling further analysis and decision-making.
title Integrating Activity Predictions in Knowledge Graphs
topic Artificial Intelligence
Databases
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.19733