A Unified Theory of $θ$-Expectations

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteur principal: Qi, Qian
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Qi, Qian
author_facet Qi, Qian
contents We derive a new class of non-linear expectations from first-principles deterministic chaotic dynamics. The homogenization of the system's skew-adjoint microscopic generator is achieved using the spectral theory of transfer operators for uniformly hyperbolic flows. We prove convergence in the viscosity sense to a macroscopic evolution governed by a fully non-linear Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation. Our central result establishes that the HJB Hamiltonian possesses a rigid structure: affine in the Hessian but demonstrably non-convex in the gradient. This defines a new $θ$-expectation and constructively establishes a class of non-convex stochastic control problems fundamentally outside the sub-additive framework of G-expectations.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_20353
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Unified Theory of $θ$-Expectations
Qi, Qian
Probability
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
We derive a new class of non-linear expectations from first-principles deterministic chaotic dynamics. The homogenization of the system's skew-adjoint microscopic generator is achieved using the spectral theory of transfer operators for uniformly hyperbolic flows. We prove convergence in the viscosity sense to a macroscopic evolution governed by a fully non-linear Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation. Our central result establishes that the HJB Hamiltonian possesses a rigid structure: affine in the Hessian but demonstrably non-convex in the gradient. This defines a new $θ$-expectation and constructively establishes a class of non-convex stochastic control problems fundamentally outside the sub-additive framework of G-expectations.
title A Unified Theory of $θ$-Expectations
topic Probability
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.20353