Stochastic forest transition model dynamics and parameter estimation via deep learning

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Kumabe, Satoshi, Song, Tianyu, Ta, Ton Viet
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Kumabe, Satoshi
Song, Tianyu
Ta, Ton Viet
author_facet Kumabe, Satoshi
Song, Tianyu
Ta, Ton Viet
contents Forest transitions, characterized by dynamic shifts between forest, agricultural, and abandoned lands, are complex phenomena. This study developed a stochastic differential equation model to capture the intricate dynamics of these transitions. We established the existence of global positive solutions for the model and conducted numerical analyses to assess the impact of model parameters on deforestation incentives. To address the challenge of parameter estimation, we proposed a novel deep learning approach that estimates all model parameters from a single sample containing time-series observations of forest and agricultural land proportions. This innovative approach enables us to understand forest transition dynamics and deforestation trends at any future time.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_21486
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Stochastic forest transition model dynamics and parameter estimation via deep learning
Kumabe, Satoshi
Song, Tianyu
Ta, Ton Viet
Machine Learning
Forest transitions, characterized by dynamic shifts between forest, agricultural, and abandoned lands, are complex phenomena. This study developed a stochastic differential equation model to capture the intricate dynamics of these transitions. We established the existence of global positive solutions for the model and conducted numerical analyses to assess the impact of model parameters on deforestation incentives. To address the challenge of parameter estimation, we proposed a novel deep learning approach that estimates all model parameters from a single sample containing time-series observations of forest and agricultural land proportions. This innovative approach enables us to understand forest transition dynamics and deforestation trends at any future time.
title Stochastic forest transition model dynamics and parameter estimation via deep learning
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.21486