Uncertainty Estimation of the Optimal Decision with Application to Cure Process Optimization

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Li, Yezhuo, Zhang, Qiong, Limaye, Madhura, Li, Gang
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Li, Yezhuo
Zhang, Qiong
Limaye, Madhura
Li, Gang
author_facet Li, Yezhuo
Zhang, Qiong
Limaye, Madhura
Li, Gang
contents Decision-making in manufacturing often involves optimizing key process parameters using data collected from simulation experiments. Gaussian processes are widely used to surrogate the underlying system and guide optimization. Uncertainty often inherent in the decisions given by the surrogate model due to limited data and model assumptions. This paper proposes a surrogate model-based framework for estimating the uncertainty of optimal decisions and analyzing its sensitivity with respect to the objective function. The proposed approach is applied to the composite cure process simulation in manufacturing.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_21995
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Uncertainty Estimation of the Optimal Decision with Application to Cure Process Optimization
Li, Yezhuo
Zhang, Qiong
Limaye, Madhura
Li, Gang
Applications
Decision-making in manufacturing often involves optimizing key process parameters using data collected from simulation experiments. Gaussian processes are widely used to surrogate the underlying system and guide optimization. Uncertainty often inherent in the decisions given by the surrogate model due to limited data and model assumptions. This paper proposes a surrogate model-based framework for estimating the uncertainty of optimal decisions and analyzing its sensitivity with respect to the objective function. The proposed approach is applied to the composite cure process simulation in manufacturing.
title Uncertainty Estimation of the Optimal Decision with Application to Cure Process Optimization
topic Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.21995