Parameter Estimation with Targeted Eccentric Numerical-Relativity Simulations for GW200208_22 and GW190620

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Autores principales: McMillin, Patricia, Wagner, Katelyn J., Ficarra, Giuseppe, Lousto, Carlos O., O'Shaughnessy, Richard
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author McMillin, Patricia
Wagner, Katelyn J.
Ficarra, Giuseppe
Lousto, Carlos O.
O'Shaughnessy, Richard
author_facet McMillin, Patricia
Wagner, Katelyn J.
Ficarra, Giuseppe
Lousto, Carlos O.
O'Shaughnessy, Richard
contents We have analyzed LVK gravitational wave events that show some evidence of eccentricity from TEOBResumS modeling parameter estimations and have confronted them independently with full numerical generated waveforms from our bank of nearly two thousand simulations of binary black holes. We have used RIFT for Bayesian parameter estimation and found that GW200208_22 KDE estimates favor eccentricities $e_{20} = 0.198_{-0.180}^{+0.119}$ upon entering the LVK band at $\sim20$Hz within a $90\%$ confidence interval. Within this event analysis we employed 42 new targeted full numerical relativity simulations and we have thus found a top improved likelihood $\ln\mathcal{L}$ matching waveform, compared to model-based analysis, with an estimated eccentricity at 20Hz, $e_{20}=0.200$, thus reinforcing the eccentric hypothesis of the binary. We have also used our full bank of numerical waveforms on GW190620 finding that the KDE estimate favors eccentricities at 10 Hz in $e_{10}=0.190_{-0.186}^{+0.046}$. New specifically targeted simulations will be required to narrow these eccentricity ranges.
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id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_22862
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Parameter Estimation with Targeted Eccentric Numerical-Relativity Simulations for GW200208_22 and GW190620
McMillin, Patricia
Wagner, Katelyn J.
Ficarra, Giuseppe
Lousto, Carlos O.
O'Shaughnessy, Richard
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
We have analyzed LVK gravitational wave events that show some evidence of eccentricity from TEOBResumS modeling parameter estimations and have confronted them independently with full numerical generated waveforms from our bank of nearly two thousand simulations of binary black holes. We have used RIFT for Bayesian parameter estimation and found that GW200208_22 KDE estimates favor eccentricities $e_{20} = 0.198_{-0.180}^{+0.119}$ upon entering the LVK band at $\sim20$Hz within a $90\%$ confidence interval. Within this event analysis we employed 42 new targeted full numerical relativity simulations and we have thus found a top improved likelihood $\ln\mathcal{L}$ matching waveform, compared to model-based analysis, with an estimated eccentricity at 20Hz, $e_{20}=0.200$, thus reinforcing the eccentric hypothesis of the binary. We have also used our full bank of numerical waveforms on GW190620 finding that the KDE estimate favors eccentricities at 10 Hz in $e_{10}=0.190_{-0.186}^{+0.046}$. New specifically targeted simulations will be required to narrow these eccentricity ranges.
title Parameter Estimation with Targeted Eccentric Numerical-Relativity Simulations for GW200208_22 and GW190620
topic General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.22862