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Main Authors: Liyanaarachchi, Sahan, Ulukus, Sennur
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.22865
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author Liyanaarachchi, Sahan
Ulukus, Sennur
author_facet Liyanaarachchi, Sahan
Ulukus, Sennur
contents With the dawn of AI factories ushering a new era of computing supremacy, development of strategies to effectively track and utilize the available computing resources is garnering utmost importance. These computing resources are often modeled as Markov sources, which oscillate between free and busy states, depending on their internal load and external utilization, and are commonly referred to as Markov machines (MMs). Most of the prior work solely focuses on the problem of tracking these MMs, while often assuming a rudimentary decision process that governs their utilization. Our key observation is that the ultimate goal of tracking a MM is to properly utilize it. In this work, we consider the problem of maximizing the utility of a MM, where the utility is defined as the average revenue generated by the MM. Assuming a Poisson job arrival process and a query-based sampling procedure to sample the state of the MM, we find the optimal times to submit the available jobs to the MM so as to maximize the average revenue generated per unit job. We show that, depending on the parameters of the MM, the optimal policy is in the form of either a \emph{threshold policy} or a \emph{switching policy} based on the \emph{age of our estimate} of the state of the MM.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_22865
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Age of Estimates: When to Submit Jobs to a Markov Machine to Maximize Revenue
Liyanaarachchi, Sahan
Ulukus, Sennur
Information Theory
Systems and Control
With the dawn of AI factories ushering a new era of computing supremacy, development of strategies to effectively track and utilize the available computing resources is garnering utmost importance. These computing resources are often modeled as Markov sources, which oscillate between free and busy states, depending on their internal load and external utilization, and are commonly referred to as Markov machines (MMs). Most of the prior work solely focuses on the problem of tracking these MMs, while often assuming a rudimentary decision process that governs their utilization. Our key observation is that the ultimate goal of tracking a MM is to properly utilize it. In this work, we consider the problem of maximizing the utility of a MM, where the utility is defined as the average revenue generated by the MM. Assuming a Poisson job arrival process and a query-based sampling procedure to sample the state of the MM, we find the optimal times to submit the available jobs to the MM so as to maximize the average revenue generated per unit job. We show that, depending on the parameters of the MM, the optimal policy is in the form of either a \emph{threshold policy} or a \emph{switching policy} based on the \emph{age of our estimate} of the state of the MM.
title Age of Estimates: When to Submit Jobs to a Markov Machine to Maximize Revenue
topic Information Theory
Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.22865