_version_ 1866915418708377600
author Gavrikov, A.
Serafini, A.
Dolzhikov, D.
Garfagnini, A.
Gonchar, M.
Grassi, M.
Brugnera, R.
Cerrone, V.
D'Auria, L. V.
Guizzetti, R. M.
Lastrucci, L.
Andronico, G.
Antonelli, V.
Barresi, A.
Basilico, D.
Beretta, M.
Bergnoli, A.
Borghesi, M.
Brigatti, A.
Bruno, R.
Budano, A.
Caccianiga, B.
Cammi, A.
Caruso, R.
Chiesa, D.
Clementi, C.
Coletta, C.
Dusini, S.
Fabbri, A.
Felici, G.
Ferrante, G.
Giammarchi, M. G.
Giudice, N.
Guardone, N.
Houria, F.
Landini, C.
Lippi, I.
Loi, L.
Lombardi, P.
Mantovani, F.
Mari, S. M.
Martini, A.
Miramonti, L.
Montuschi, M.
Nastasi, M.
Orestano, D.
Ortica, F.
Paoloni, A.
Pelicci, L.
Percalli, E.
Petrucci, F.
Previtali, E.
Ranucci, G.
Re, A. C.
Ricci, B.
Romani, A.
Sirignano, C.
Sisti, M.
Stanco, L.
Farilla, E. Stanescu
Strati, V.
Torri, M. D. C
Tuvè, C.
Venettacci, C.
Verde, G.
Votano, L.
author_facet Gavrikov, A.
Serafini, A.
Dolzhikov, D.
Garfagnini, A.
Gonchar, M.
Grassi, M.
Brugnera, R.
Cerrone, V.
D'Auria, L. V.
Guizzetti, R. M.
Lastrucci, L.
Andronico, G.
Antonelli, V.
Barresi, A.
Basilico, D.
Beretta, M.
Bergnoli, A.
Borghesi, M.
Brigatti, A.
Bruno, R.
Budano, A.
Caccianiga, B.
Cammi, A.
Caruso, R.
Chiesa, D.
Clementi, C.
Coletta, C.
Dusini, S.
Fabbri, A.
Felici, G.
Ferrante, G.
Giammarchi, M. G.
Giudice, N.
Guardone, N.
Houria, F.
Landini, C.
Lippi, I.
Loi, L.
Lombardi, P.
Mantovani, F.
Mari, S. M.
Martini, A.
Miramonti, L.
Montuschi, M.
Nastasi, M.
Orestano, D.
Ortica, F.
Paoloni, A.
Pelicci, L.
Percalli, E.
Petrucci, F.
Previtali, E.
Ranucci, G.
Re, A. C.
Ricci, B.
Romani, A.
Sirignano, C.
Sisti, M.
Stanco, L.
Farilla, E. Stanescu
Strati, V.
Torri, M. D. C
Tuvè, C.
Venettacci, C.
Verde, G.
Votano, L.
contents Precise modeling of detector energy response is crucial for next-generation neutrino experiments which present computational challenges due to lack of analytical likelihoods. We propose a solution using neural likelihood estimation within the simulation-based inference framework. We develop two complementary neural density estimators that model likelihoods of calibration data: conditional normalizing flows and a transformer-based regressor. We adopt JUNO - a large neutrino experiment - as a case study. The energy response of JUNO depends on several parameters, all of which should be tuned, given their non-linear behavior and strong correlations in the calibration data. To this end, we integrate the modeled likelihoods with Bayesian nested sampling for parameter inference, achieving uncertainties limited only by statistics with near-zero systematic biases. The normalizing flows model enables unbinned likelihood analysis, while the transformer provides an efficient binned alternative. By providing both options, our framework offers flexibility to choose the most appropriate method for specific needs. Finally, our approach establishes a template for similar applications across experimental neutrino and broader particle physics.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2507_23297
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Simulation-based inference for Precision Neutrino Physics through Neural Monte Carlo tuning
Gavrikov, A.
Serafini, A.
Dolzhikov, D.
Garfagnini, A.
Gonchar, M.
Grassi, M.
Brugnera, R.
Cerrone, V.
D'Auria, L. V.
Guizzetti, R. M.
Lastrucci, L.
Andronico, G.
Antonelli, V.
Barresi, A.
Basilico, D.
Beretta, M.
Bergnoli, A.
Borghesi, M.
Brigatti, A.
Bruno, R.
Budano, A.
Caccianiga, B.
Cammi, A.
Caruso, R.
Chiesa, D.
Clementi, C.
Coletta, C.
Dusini, S.
Fabbri, A.
Felici, G.
Ferrante, G.
Giammarchi, M. G.
Giudice, N.
Guardone, N.
Houria, F.
Landini, C.
Lippi, I.
Loi, L.
Lombardi, P.
Mantovani, F.
Mari, S. M.
Martini, A.
Miramonti, L.
Montuschi, M.
Nastasi, M.
Orestano, D.
Ortica, F.
Paoloni, A.
Pelicci, L.
Percalli, E.
Petrucci, F.
Previtali, E.
Ranucci, G.
Re, A. C.
Ricci, B.
Romani, A.
Sirignano, C.
Sisti, M.
Stanco, L.
Farilla, E. Stanescu
Strati, V.
Torri, M. D. C
Tuvè, C.
Venettacci, C.
Verde, G.
Votano, L.
Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Machine Learning
High Energy Physics - Experiment
High Energy Physics - Phenomenology
Instrumentation and Detectors
Precise modeling of detector energy response is crucial for next-generation neutrino experiments which present computational challenges due to lack of analytical likelihoods. We propose a solution using neural likelihood estimation within the simulation-based inference framework. We develop two complementary neural density estimators that model likelihoods of calibration data: conditional normalizing flows and a transformer-based regressor. We adopt JUNO - a large neutrino experiment - as a case study. The energy response of JUNO depends on several parameters, all of which should be tuned, given their non-linear behavior and strong correlations in the calibration data. To this end, we integrate the modeled likelihoods with Bayesian nested sampling for parameter inference, achieving uncertainties limited only by statistics with near-zero systematic biases. The normalizing flows model enables unbinned likelihood analysis, while the transformer provides an efficient binned alternative. By providing both options, our framework offers flexibility to choose the most appropriate method for specific needs. Finally, our approach establishes a template for similar applications across experimental neutrino and broader particle physics.
title Simulation-based inference for Precision Neutrino Physics through Neural Monte Carlo tuning
topic Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Machine Learning
High Energy Physics - Experiment
High Energy Physics - Phenomenology
Instrumentation and Detectors
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.23297