Managing Escalation in Off-the-Shelf Large Language Models

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Elbaum, Sebastian, Panter, Jonathan
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Elbaum, Sebastian
Panter, Jonathan
author_facet Elbaum, Sebastian
Panter, Jonathan
contents U.S. national security customers have begun to utilize large language models, including enterprise versions of ``off-the-shelf'' models (e.g., ChatGPT) familiar to the public. This uptake will likely accelerate. However, recent studies suggest that off-the-shelf large language models frequently suggest escalatory actions when prompted with geopolitical or strategic scenarios. We demonstrate two simple, non-technical interventions to control these tendencies. Introducing these interventions into the experimental wargame design of a recent study, we substantially reduce escalation throughout the game. Calls to restrict the use of large language models in national security applications are thus premature. The U.S. government is already, and will continue, employing large language models for scenario planning and suggesting courses of action. Rather than warning against such applications, this study acknowledges the imminent adoption of large language models, and provides actionable measures to align them with national security goals, including escalation management.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2508_01056
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Managing Escalation in Off-the-Shelf Large Language Models
Elbaum, Sebastian
Panter, Jonathan
Emerging Technologies
Artificial Intelligence
U.S. national security customers have begun to utilize large language models, including enterprise versions of ``off-the-shelf'' models (e.g., ChatGPT) familiar to the public. This uptake will likely accelerate. However, recent studies suggest that off-the-shelf large language models frequently suggest escalatory actions when prompted with geopolitical or strategic scenarios. We demonstrate two simple, non-technical interventions to control these tendencies. Introducing these interventions into the experimental wargame design of a recent study, we substantially reduce escalation throughout the game. Calls to restrict the use of large language models in national security applications are thus premature. The U.S. government is already, and will continue, employing large language models for scenario planning and suggesting courses of action. Rather than warning against such applications, this study acknowledges the imminent adoption of large language models, and provides actionable measures to align them with national security goals, including escalation management.
title Managing Escalation in Off-the-Shelf Large Language Models
topic Emerging Technologies
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.01056