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| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2025
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.01904 |
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| _version_ | 1866909719515365376 |
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| author | Tarter, Timothy Santos, Bella |
| author_facet | Tarter, Timothy Santos, Bella |
| contents | In this paper, we use an adaptation of the Lotka-Volterra Predator-Prey framework (via Affili Et. Al.) to model the relationship between Taliban disinformation campaigns and NATO's attempts to counter them. We find that aggression is a significantly preferred strategy over stagnation; this result should prompt decisionmakers to take strong stances against disinformation campaigns while maintaining a healthy defense against retribution. This leads us to propose the NATO Afghan Youth for Change program, which provides scholarships to individuals throughout the Afghan diaspora to become NATO influencers - a role which will both advance their personal goals and mitigate the spread of disinformation in what may otherwise be communities targeted by the Taliban's disinformation campaigns. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2508_01904 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Modeling the Impact of NATO Policy Actions on Taliban Disinformation Campaigns with Lotka-Volterra Models Tarter, Timothy Santos, Bella Dynamical Systems In this paper, we use an adaptation of the Lotka-Volterra Predator-Prey framework (via Affili Et. Al.) to model the relationship between Taliban disinformation campaigns and NATO's attempts to counter them. We find that aggression is a significantly preferred strategy over stagnation; this result should prompt decisionmakers to take strong stances against disinformation campaigns while maintaining a healthy defense against retribution. This leads us to propose the NATO Afghan Youth for Change program, which provides scholarships to individuals throughout the Afghan diaspora to become NATO influencers - a role which will both advance their personal goals and mitigate the spread of disinformation in what may otherwise be communities targeted by the Taliban's disinformation campaigns. |
| title | Modeling the Impact of NATO Policy Actions on Taliban Disinformation Campaigns with Lotka-Volterra Models |
| topic | Dynamical Systems |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.01904 |