On ore-bearing asteroid remnants in lunar craters

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Chennamangalam, Jayanth, Brook, Paul, Elvis, Martin, Peterson, Samuel
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Chennamangalam, Jayanth
Brook, Paul
Elvis, Martin
Peterson, Samuel
author_facet Chennamangalam, Jayanth
Brook, Paul
Elvis, Martin
Peterson, Samuel
contents We modify the probabilistic formalism developed by Elvis (2014) to estimate the number of lunar craters that contain ore-bearing asteroid remnants. When we consider craters at or above a threshold diameter of 1 km, we estimate an upper limit of ${\sim}6,500$ craters with asteroid remnants containing significant amounts of platinum group metals and an upper limit of ${\sim}3,400$ craters with asteroid remnants that contain significant amounts of water in the form of hydrated minerals. For a more conservative threshold of 5 km, we estimate $\lesssim400$ craters with asteroid remnants that contain significant amounts of platinum group metals. These values are one to two orders of magnitude larger than the number of ore-bearing near-Earth asteroids estimated by Elvis (2014), implying that it may be more advantageous, and hence more profitable, to mine asteroids that have impacted the Moon rather than the ones that are in orbit.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2508_03025
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle On ore-bearing asteroid remnants in lunar craters
Chennamangalam, Jayanth
Brook, Paul
Elvis, Martin
Peterson, Samuel
Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
We modify the probabilistic formalism developed by Elvis (2014) to estimate the number of lunar craters that contain ore-bearing asteroid remnants. When we consider craters at or above a threshold diameter of 1 km, we estimate an upper limit of ${\sim}6,500$ craters with asteroid remnants containing significant amounts of platinum group metals and an upper limit of ${\sim}3,400$ craters with asteroid remnants that contain significant amounts of water in the form of hydrated minerals. For a more conservative threshold of 5 km, we estimate $\lesssim400$ craters with asteroid remnants that contain significant amounts of platinum group metals. These values are one to two orders of magnitude larger than the number of ore-bearing near-Earth asteroids estimated by Elvis (2014), implying that it may be more advantageous, and hence more profitable, to mine asteroids that have impacted the Moon rather than the ones that are in orbit.
title On ore-bearing asteroid remnants in lunar craters
topic Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.03025