Performative Market Making

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Kleitsikas, Charalampos, Leonardos, Stefanos, Ventre, Carmine
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Kleitsikas, Charalampos
Leonardos, Stefanos
Ventre, Carmine
author_facet Kleitsikas, Charalampos
Leonardos, Stefanos
Ventre, Carmine
contents Financial models do not merely analyse markets, but actively shape them. This effect, known as performativity, describes how financial theories and the subsequent actions based on them influence market processes, by creating self-fulfilling prophecies. Although discussed in the literature on economic sociology, this deeply rooted phenomenon lacks mathematical formulation in financial markets. Our paper closes this gap by breaking down the canonical separation of diffusion processes between the description of the market environment and the financial model. We do that by embedding the model in the process itself, creating a closed feedback loop, and demonstrate how prices change towards greater conformity to the prevailing financial model used in the market. We further show, with closed-form solutions and machine learning, how a performative market maker can reverse engineer the current dominant strategies in the market and effectively arbitrage them while maintaining competitive quotes and superior P&L.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2508_04344
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Performative Market Making
Kleitsikas, Charalampos
Leonardos, Stefanos
Ventre, Carmine
Trading and Market Microstructure
Mathematical Finance
Financial models do not merely analyse markets, but actively shape them. This effect, known as performativity, describes how financial theories and the subsequent actions based on them influence market processes, by creating self-fulfilling prophecies. Although discussed in the literature on economic sociology, this deeply rooted phenomenon lacks mathematical formulation in financial markets. Our paper closes this gap by breaking down the canonical separation of diffusion processes between the description of the market environment and the financial model. We do that by embedding the model in the process itself, creating a closed feedback loop, and demonstrate how prices change towards greater conformity to the prevailing financial model used in the market. We further show, with closed-form solutions and machine learning, how a performative market maker can reverse engineer the current dominant strategies in the market and effectively arbitrage them while maintaining competitive quotes and superior P&L.
title Performative Market Making
topic Trading and Market Microstructure
Mathematical Finance
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.04344