Periodic evaluation of defined-contribution pension fund: A dynamic risk measure approach
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arXiv
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| Hauptverfasser: | , , |
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| Format: | Preprint |
| Veröffentlicht: |
2025
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| _version_ | 1866912525476429824 |
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| author | He, Wanting Li, Wenyuan Wei, Yunran |
| author_facet | He, Wanting Li, Wenyuan Wei, Yunran |
| contents | This paper introduces an innovative framework for the periodic evaluation of defined-contribution pension funds. The performance of the pension fund is evaluated not only at retirement, but also within the interim periods. In contrast to the traditional literature, we set the dynamic risk measure as the criterion and manage the tail risk of the pension fund dynamically. To effectively interact with the stochastic environment, a model-free reinforcement learning algorithm is proposed to search for optimal investment and insurance strategies. Using U.S. data, we calibrate pension members' mortality rates and enhance mortality projections through a Lee-Carter model. Our numerical results indicate that periodic evaluations lead to more risk-averse strategies, while mortality improvements encourage more risk-seeking behaviors. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2508_05241 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Periodic evaluation of defined-contribution pension fund: A dynamic risk measure approach He, Wanting Li, Wenyuan Wei, Yunran Risk Management Machine Learning This paper introduces an innovative framework for the periodic evaluation of defined-contribution pension funds. The performance of the pension fund is evaluated not only at retirement, but also within the interim periods. In contrast to the traditional literature, we set the dynamic risk measure as the criterion and manage the tail risk of the pension fund dynamically. To effectively interact with the stochastic environment, a model-free reinforcement learning algorithm is proposed to search for optimal investment and insurance strategies. Using U.S. data, we calibrate pension members' mortality rates and enhance mortality projections through a Lee-Carter model. Our numerical results indicate that periodic evaluations lead to more risk-averse strategies, while mortality improvements encourage more risk-seeking behaviors. |
| title | Periodic evaluation of defined-contribution pension fund: A dynamic risk measure approach |
| topic | Risk Management Machine Learning |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.05241 |