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Auteurs principaux: Paillard, Joseph, Collas, Antoine, Engemann, Denis A., Thirion, Bertrand
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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Accès en ligne:https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.08724
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author Paillard, Joseph
Collas, Antoine
Engemann, Denis A.
Thirion, Bertrand
author_facet Paillard, Joseph
Collas, Antoine
Engemann, Denis A.
Thirion, Bertrand
contents Recent advances in machine learning have greatly expanded the repertoire of predictive methods for medical imaging. However, the interpretability of complex models remains a challenge, which limits their utility in medical applications. Recently, model-agnostic methods have been proposed to measure conditional variable importance and accommodate complex non-linear models. However, they often lack power when dealing with highly correlated data, a common problem in medical imaging. We introduce Hierarchical-CPI, a model-agnostic variable importance measure that frames the inference problem as the discovery of groups of variables that are jointly predictive of the outcome. By exploring subgroups along a hierarchical tree, it remains computationally tractable, yet also enjoys explicit family-wise error rate control. Moreover, we address the issue of vanishing conditional importance under high correlation with a tree-based importance allocation mechanism. We benchmarked Hierarchical-CPI against state-of-the-art variable importance methods. Its effectiveness is demonstrated in two neuroimaging datasets: classifying dementia diagnoses from MRI data (ADNI dataset) and analyzing the Berger effect on EEG data (TDBRAIN dataset), identifying biologically plausible variables.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2508_08724
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Hierarchical Variable Importance with Statistical Control for Medical Data-Based Prediction
Paillard, Joseph
Collas, Antoine
Engemann, Denis A.
Thirion, Bertrand
Machine Learning
Recent advances in machine learning have greatly expanded the repertoire of predictive methods for medical imaging. However, the interpretability of complex models remains a challenge, which limits their utility in medical applications. Recently, model-agnostic methods have been proposed to measure conditional variable importance and accommodate complex non-linear models. However, they often lack power when dealing with highly correlated data, a common problem in medical imaging. We introduce Hierarchical-CPI, a model-agnostic variable importance measure that frames the inference problem as the discovery of groups of variables that are jointly predictive of the outcome. By exploring subgroups along a hierarchical tree, it remains computationally tractable, yet also enjoys explicit family-wise error rate control. Moreover, we address the issue of vanishing conditional importance under high correlation with a tree-based importance allocation mechanism. We benchmarked Hierarchical-CPI against state-of-the-art variable importance methods. Its effectiveness is demonstrated in two neuroimaging datasets: classifying dementia diagnoses from MRI data (ADNI dataset) and analyzing the Berger effect on EEG data (TDBRAIN dataset), identifying biologically plausible variables.
title Hierarchical Variable Importance with Statistical Control for Medical Data-Based Prediction
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.08724