Copula-based analytical results of horizontal visibility graphs for correlated time series

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Lee, Jeong-Min, Jo, Hang-Hyun
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Lee, Jeong-Min
Jo, Hang-Hyun
author_facet Lee, Jeong-Min
Jo, Hang-Hyun
contents The visibility graph (VG) algorithm and its variants have been extensively studied in the time series analysis as they transform the time series into the network of nodes and links, enabling to characterize the time series in terms of network measures such as degree distributions. Despite numerous practical applications of VGs in various disciplines, analytical, rigorous understanding of VGs for the correlated time series is still far from complete due to the lack of mathematical tools for modeling the correlation structure in the time series in a tractable form. In this work, we adopt the Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM) copula method to derive the analytical solutions of degree distributions of the horizontal visibility graph (HVG) and its directed version (DHVG) for the correlated time series. Our analytical results show exactly how the correlation between consecutive data points affects the degree distributions of HVGs and DHVGs up to the first order of the correlation parameter in the FGM copula. Thus, our findings shed light on the rigorous understanding of the VG algorithms.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2508_08934
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Copula-based analytical results of horizontal visibility graphs for correlated time series
Lee, Jeong-Min
Jo, Hang-Hyun
Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
The visibility graph (VG) algorithm and its variants have been extensively studied in the time series analysis as they transform the time series into the network of nodes and links, enabling to characterize the time series in terms of network measures such as degree distributions. Despite numerous practical applications of VGs in various disciplines, analytical, rigorous understanding of VGs for the correlated time series is still far from complete due to the lack of mathematical tools for modeling the correlation structure in the time series in a tractable form. In this work, we adopt the Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM) copula method to derive the analytical solutions of degree distributions of the horizontal visibility graph (HVG) and its directed version (DHVG) for the correlated time series. Our analytical results show exactly how the correlation between consecutive data points affects the degree distributions of HVGs and DHVGs up to the first order of the correlation parameter in the FGM copula. Thus, our findings shed light on the rigorous understanding of the VG algorithms.
title Copula-based analytical results of horizontal visibility graphs for correlated time series
topic Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.08934