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Auteurs principaux: Talbot, Colm, Biscoveanu, Sylvia, Zimmerman, Aaron, Baka, Tomasz, Farr, Will M., Golomb, Jacob, Hoy, Charlie, Lundgren, Andrew, Tissino, Jacopo, Williams, Michael J., Veitch, John, Vijaykumar, Aditya
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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Accès en ligne:https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.11091
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author Talbot, Colm
Biscoveanu, Sylvia
Zimmerman, Aaron
Baka, Tomasz
Farr, Will M.
Golomb, Jacob
Hoy, Charlie
Lundgren, Andrew
Tissino, Jacopo
Williams, Michael J.
Veitch, John
Vijaykumar, Aditya
author_facet Talbot, Colm
Biscoveanu, Sylvia
Zimmerman, Aaron
Baka, Tomasz
Farr, Will M.
Golomb, Jacob
Hoy, Charlie
Lundgren, Andrew
Tissino, Jacopo
Williams, Michael J.
Veitch, John
Vijaykumar, Aditya
contents Smooth window functions are often applied to strain data when inferring the parameters describing the astrophysical sources of gravitational-wave transients. Within the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA collaboration, it is conventional to include a term to account for power loss due to this window in the likelihood function. We show that the inclusion of this factor leads to biased inference. The simplest solution to this, omitting the factor, leads to unbiased posteriors and Bayes factor estimates provided the window does not suppress the signal for signal-to-noise ratios $\lesssim O(100)$, but unreliable estimates of the absolute likelihood. Instead, we propose a multi-stage method that yields consistent estimates for the absolute likelihood in addition to unbiased posterior distributions and Bayes factors for signal-to-noise ratios $\lesssim O(1000)$. Additionally, we demonstrate that the commonly held wisdom that using rectangular windows necessarily leads to biased inference is incorrect.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2508_11091
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
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spellingShingle Inference with finite time series II: the window strikes back
Talbot, Colm
Biscoveanu, Sylvia
Zimmerman, Aaron
Baka, Tomasz
Farr, Will M.
Golomb, Jacob
Hoy, Charlie
Lundgren, Andrew
Tissino, Jacopo
Williams, Michael J.
Veitch, John
Vijaykumar, Aditya
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
Smooth window functions are often applied to strain data when inferring the parameters describing the astrophysical sources of gravitational-wave transients. Within the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA collaboration, it is conventional to include a term to account for power loss due to this window in the likelihood function. We show that the inclusion of this factor leads to biased inference. The simplest solution to this, omitting the factor, leads to unbiased posteriors and Bayes factor estimates provided the window does not suppress the signal for signal-to-noise ratios $\lesssim O(100)$, but unreliable estimates of the absolute likelihood. Instead, we propose a multi-stage method that yields consistent estimates for the absolute likelihood in addition to unbiased posterior distributions and Bayes factors for signal-to-noise ratios $\lesssim O(1000)$. Additionally, we demonstrate that the commonly held wisdom that using rectangular windows necessarily leads to biased inference is incorrect.
title Inference with finite time series II: the window strikes back
topic General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.11091