Sharp upper bounds on hitting probabilities for the solution to the stochastic heat equation on the line

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Dalang, Robert C., Nualart, David, Pu, Fei
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Dalang, Robert C.
Nualart, David
Pu, Fei
author_facet Dalang, Robert C.
Nualart, David
Pu, Fei
contents For Gaussian random fields with values in $\mathbb{R}^d$, sharp upper and lower bounds on the probability of hitting a fixed set have been available for many years. These apply in particular to the solutions of systems of linear SPDEs. For non-Gaussian random fields, the available bounds are less sharp. For nonlinear systems of stochastic heat equations, a sharp lower bound was obtained in a previous paper by two of the authors. Here, we obtain the corresponding sharp upper bound. The proof requires a bound on the joint probability density function of a two-dimensional random vector whose components are the solution to the {\em nonlinear} stochastic heat equation and the supremum over a small rectangle of the solution to the {\em linear} stochastic heat equation, in terms of the size of the rectangle. This bound makes use of a formula that expresses the density of a {\em locally nondegenerate} random vector as an iterated Skorohod integral. The main effort is to estimate, using Malliavin calculus, each of the terms that arise from this formula.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2508_11859
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Sharp upper bounds on hitting probabilities for the solution to the stochastic heat equation on the line
Dalang, Robert C.
Nualart, David
Pu, Fei
Probability
For Gaussian random fields with values in $\mathbb{R}^d$, sharp upper and lower bounds on the probability of hitting a fixed set have been available for many years. These apply in particular to the solutions of systems of linear SPDEs. For non-Gaussian random fields, the available bounds are less sharp. For nonlinear systems of stochastic heat equations, a sharp lower bound was obtained in a previous paper by two of the authors. Here, we obtain the corresponding sharp upper bound. The proof requires a bound on the joint probability density function of a two-dimensional random vector whose components are the solution to the {\em nonlinear} stochastic heat equation and the supremum over a small rectangle of the solution to the {\em linear} stochastic heat equation, in terms of the size of the rectangle. This bound makes use of a formula that expresses the density of a {\em locally nondegenerate} random vector as an iterated Skorohod integral. The main effort is to estimate, using Malliavin calculus, each of the terms that arise from this formula.
title Sharp upper bounds on hitting probabilities for the solution to the stochastic heat equation on the line
topic Probability
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.11859