Load Forecasting on A Highly Sparse Electrical Load Dataset Using Gaussian Interpolation

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Biswas, Chinmoy, Faisal, Nafis, Chowdhury, Vivek, Abir, Abrar Al-Shadid, Mahmud, Sabir, Rahman, Mithon, Fattah, Shaikh Anowarul, Imtiaz, Hafiz
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Biswas, Chinmoy
Faisal, Nafis
Chowdhury, Vivek
Abir, Abrar Al-Shadid
Mahmud, Sabir
Rahman, Mithon
Fattah, Shaikh Anowarul
Imtiaz, Hafiz
author_facet Biswas, Chinmoy
Faisal, Nafis
Chowdhury, Vivek
Abir, Abrar Al-Shadid
Mahmud, Sabir
Rahman, Mithon
Fattah, Shaikh Anowarul
Imtiaz, Hafiz
contents Sparsity, defined as the presence of missing or zero values in a dataset, often poses a major challenge while operating on real-life datasets. Sparsity in features or target data of the training dataset can be handled using various interpolation methods, such as linear or polynomial interpolation, spline, moving average, or can be simply imputed. Interpolation methods usually perform well with Strict Sense Stationary (SSS) data. In this study, we show that an approximately 62\% sparse dataset with hourly load data of a power plant can be utilized for load forecasting assuming the data is Wide Sense Stationary (WSS), if augmented with Gaussian interpolation. More specifically, we perform statistical analysis on the data, and train multiple machine learning and deep learning models on the dataset. By comparing the performance of these models, we empirically demonstrate that Gaussian interpolation is a suitable option for dealing with load forecasting problems. Additionally, we demonstrate that Long Short-term Memory (LSTM)-based neural network model offers the best performance among a diverse set of classical and neural network-based models.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2508_14069
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Load Forecasting on A Highly Sparse Electrical Load Dataset Using Gaussian Interpolation
Biswas, Chinmoy
Faisal, Nafis
Chowdhury, Vivek
Abir, Abrar Al-Shadid
Mahmud, Sabir
Rahman, Mithon
Fattah, Shaikh Anowarul
Imtiaz, Hafiz
Machine Learning
Signal Processing
Sparsity, defined as the presence of missing or zero values in a dataset, often poses a major challenge while operating on real-life datasets. Sparsity in features or target data of the training dataset can be handled using various interpolation methods, such as linear or polynomial interpolation, spline, moving average, or can be simply imputed. Interpolation methods usually perform well with Strict Sense Stationary (SSS) data. In this study, we show that an approximately 62\% sparse dataset with hourly load data of a power plant can be utilized for load forecasting assuming the data is Wide Sense Stationary (WSS), if augmented with Gaussian interpolation. More specifically, we perform statistical analysis on the data, and train multiple machine learning and deep learning models on the dataset. By comparing the performance of these models, we empirically demonstrate that Gaussian interpolation is a suitable option for dealing with load forecasting problems. Additionally, we demonstrate that Long Short-term Memory (LSTM)-based neural network model offers the best performance among a diverse set of classical and neural network-based models.
title Load Forecasting on A Highly Sparse Electrical Load Dataset Using Gaussian Interpolation
topic Machine Learning
Signal Processing
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.14069