Effect of Data Augmentation on Conformal Prediction for Diabetic Retinopathy

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Ahamed, Rizwan, Amireskandari, Annahita, Palko, Joel, Laxson, Carol, Bhattarai, Binod, Gyawali, Prashnna
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Ahamed, Rizwan
Amireskandari, Annahita
Palko, Joel
Laxson, Carol
Bhattarai, Binod
Gyawali, Prashnna
author_facet Ahamed, Rizwan
Amireskandari, Annahita
Palko, Joel
Laxson, Carol
Bhattarai, Binod
Gyawali, Prashnna
contents The clinical deployment of deep learning models for high-stakes tasks such as diabetic retinopathy (DR) grading requires demonstrable reliability. While models achieve high accuracy, their clinical utility is limited by a lack of robust uncertainty quantification. Conformal prediction (CP) offers a distribution-free framework to generate prediction sets with statistical guarantees of coverage. However, the interaction between standard training practices like data augmentation and the validity of these guarantees is not well understood. In this study, we systematically investigate how different data augmentation strategies affect the performance of conformal predictors for DR grading. Using the DDR dataset, we evaluate two backbone architectures -- ResNet-50 and a Co-Scale Conv-Attentional Transformer (CoaT) -- trained under five augmentation regimes: no augmentation, standard geometric transforms, CLAHE, Mixup, and CutMix. We analyze the downstream effects on conformal metrics, including empirical coverage, average prediction set size, and correct efficiency. Our results demonstrate that sample-mixing strategies like Mixup and CutMix not only improve predictive accuracy but also yield more reliable and efficient uncertainty estimates. Conversely, methods like CLAHE can negatively impact model certainty. These findings highlight the need to co-design augmentation strategies with downstream uncertainty quantification in mind to build genuinely trustworthy AI systems for medical imaging.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2508_14266
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Effect of Data Augmentation on Conformal Prediction for Diabetic Retinopathy
Ahamed, Rizwan
Amireskandari, Annahita
Palko, Joel
Laxson, Carol
Bhattarai, Binod
Gyawali, Prashnna
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Artificial Intelligence
The clinical deployment of deep learning models for high-stakes tasks such as diabetic retinopathy (DR) grading requires demonstrable reliability. While models achieve high accuracy, their clinical utility is limited by a lack of robust uncertainty quantification. Conformal prediction (CP) offers a distribution-free framework to generate prediction sets with statistical guarantees of coverage. However, the interaction between standard training practices like data augmentation and the validity of these guarantees is not well understood. In this study, we systematically investigate how different data augmentation strategies affect the performance of conformal predictors for DR grading. Using the DDR dataset, we evaluate two backbone architectures -- ResNet-50 and a Co-Scale Conv-Attentional Transformer (CoaT) -- trained under five augmentation regimes: no augmentation, standard geometric transforms, CLAHE, Mixup, and CutMix. We analyze the downstream effects on conformal metrics, including empirical coverage, average prediction set size, and correct efficiency. Our results demonstrate that sample-mixing strategies like Mixup and CutMix not only improve predictive accuracy but also yield more reliable and efficient uncertainty estimates. Conversely, methods like CLAHE can negatively impact model certainty. These findings highlight the need to co-design augmentation strategies with downstream uncertainty quantification in mind to build genuinely trustworthy AI systems for medical imaging.
title Effect of Data Augmentation on Conformal Prediction for Diabetic Retinopathy
topic Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.14266