A cell-level model to predict the spatiotemporal dynamics of neurodegenerative disease

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Main Authors: Huang, Shih-Huan, Cotton, Matthew W., Knowles, Tuomas P. J., Klenerman, David, Meisl, Georg
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Huang, Shih-Huan
Cotton, Matthew W.
Knowles, Tuomas P. J.
Klenerman, David
Meisl, Georg
author_facet Huang, Shih-Huan
Cotton, Matthew W.
Knowles, Tuomas P. J.
Klenerman, David
Meisl, Georg
contents A central challenge in modeling neurodegenerative diseases is connecting cellular-level mechanisms to tissue-level pathology, in particular to determine whether pathology is driven primarily by cell-autonomous triggers or by propagation from cells that are already in a pathological, runaway aggregation state. To bridge this gap, we here develop a bottom-up physical model that explicitly incorporates these two fundamental cell-level drivers of protein aggregation dynamics. We show that our model naturally explains the characteristic long, slow development of pathology followed by a rapid acceleration, a hallmark of many neurodegenerative diseases. Furthermore, the model reveals the existence of a critical switch point at which the system's dynamics transition from being dominated by slow, spontaneous formation of diseased cells to being driven by fast propagation. This framework provides a robust physical foundation for interpreting pathological data and offers a method to predict which class of therapeutic strategies is best matched to the underlying drivers of a specific disease.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2508_15046
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A cell-level model to predict the spatiotemporal dynamics of neurodegenerative disease
Huang, Shih-Huan
Cotton, Matthew W.
Knowles, Tuomas P. J.
Klenerman, David
Meisl, Georg
Quantitative Methods
Soft Condensed Matter
A central challenge in modeling neurodegenerative diseases is connecting cellular-level mechanisms to tissue-level pathology, in particular to determine whether pathology is driven primarily by cell-autonomous triggers or by propagation from cells that are already in a pathological, runaway aggregation state. To bridge this gap, we here develop a bottom-up physical model that explicitly incorporates these two fundamental cell-level drivers of protein aggregation dynamics. We show that our model naturally explains the characteristic long, slow development of pathology followed by a rapid acceleration, a hallmark of many neurodegenerative diseases. Furthermore, the model reveals the existence of a critical switch point at which the system's dynamics transition from being dominated by slow, spontaneous formation of diseased cells to being driven by fast propagation. This framework provides a robust physical foundation for interpreting pathological data and offers a method to predict which class of therapeutic strategies is best matched to the underlying drivers of a specific disease.
title A cell-level model to predict the spatiotemporal dynamics of neurodegenerative disease
topic Quantitative Methods
Soft Condensed Matter
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.15046