A nonstationary spatial model of PM2.5 with localized transfer learning from numerical model output

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Gong, Wenlong, Reich, Brian J., Guinness, Joseph
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Gong, Wenlong
Reich, Brian J.
Guinness, Joseph
author_facet Gong, Wenlong
Reich, Brian J.
Guinness, Joseph
contents Ambient air pollution measurements from regulatory monitoring networks are routinely used to support epidemiologic studies and environmental policy decision making. However, regulatory monitors are spatially sparse and preferentially located in areas with large populations. Numerical air pollution model output can be leveraged into the inference and prediction of air pollution data combining with measurements from monitors. Nonstationary covariance functions allow the model to adapt to spatial surfaces whose variability changes with location like air pollution data. In the paper, we employ localized covariance parameters learned from the numerical output model to knit together into a global nonstationary covariance, to incorporate in a fully Bayesian model. We model the nonstationary structure in a computationally efficient way to make the Bayesian model scalable.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2508_15978
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A nonstationary spatial model of PM2.5 with localized transfer learning from numerical model output
Gong, Wenlong
Reich, Brian J.
Guinness, Joseph
Applications
Computation
Methodology
Ambient air pollution measurements from regulatory monitoring networks are routinely used to support epidemiologic studies and environmental policy decision making. However, regulatory monitors are spatially sparse and preferentially located in areas with large populations. Numerical air pollution model output can be leveraged into the inference and prediction of air pollution data combining with measurements from monitors. Nonstationary covariance functions allow the model to adapt to spatial surfaces whose variability changes with location like air pollution data. In the paper, we employ localized covariance parameters learned from the numerical output model to knit together into a global nonstationary covariance, to incorporate in a fully Bayesian model. We model the nonstationary structure in a computationally efficient way to make the Bayesian model scalable.
title A nonstationary spatial model of PM2.5 with localized transfer learning from numerical model output
topic Applications
Computation
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.15978