Bridging Graph and State-Space Modeling for Intensive Care Unit Length of Stay Prediction

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Zi, Shuqi, Borde, Haitz Sáez de Ocáriz, Rocheteau, Emma, Lio', Pietro
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Zi, Shuqi
Borde, Haitz Sáez de Ocáriz
Rocheteau, Emma
Lio', Pietro
author_facet Zi, Shuqi
Borde, Haitz Sáez de Ocáriz
Rocheteau, Emma
Lio', Pietro
contents Predicting a patient's length of stay (LOS) in the intensive care unit (ICU) is a critical task for hospital resource management, yet remains challenging due to the heterogeneous and irregularly sampled nature of electronic health records (EHRs). In this work, we propose S$^2$G-Net, a novel neural architecture that unifies state-space sequence modeling with multi-view Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for ICU LOS prediction. The temporal path employs Mamba state-space models (SSMs) to capture patient trajectories, while the graph path leverages an optimized GraphGPS backbone, designed to integrate heterogeneous patient similarity graphs derived from diagnostic, administrative, and semantic features. Experiments on the large-scale MIMIC-IV cohort dataset show that S$^2$G-Net consistently outperforms sequence models (BiLSTM, Mamba, Transformer), graph models (classic GNNs, GraphGPS), and hybrid approaches across all primary metrics. Extensive ablation studies and interpretability analyses highlight the complementary contributions of each component of our architecture and underscore the importance of principled graph construction. These results demonstrate that S$^2$G-Net provides an effective and scalable solution for ICU LOS prediction with multi-modal clinical data. The code can be found at https://github.com/ShuqiZi1/S2G-Net.
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id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2508_17554
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bridging Graph and State-Space Modeling for Intensive Care Unit Length of Stay Prediction
Zi, Shuqi
Borde, Haitz Sáez de Ocáriz
Rocheteau, Emma
Lio', Pietro
Machine Learning
Predicting a patient's length of stay (LOS) in the intensive care unit (ICU) is a critical task for hospital resource management, yet remains challenging due to the heterogeneous and irregularly sampled nature of electronic health records (EHRs). In this work, we propose S$^2$G-Net, a novel neural architecture that unifies state-space sequence modeling with multi-view Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for ICU LOS prediction. The temporal path employs Mamba state-space models (SSMs) to capture patient trajectories, while the graph path leverages an optimized GraphGPS backbone, designed to integrate heterogeneous patient similarity graphs derived from diagnostic, administrative, and semantic features. Experiments on the large-scale MIMIC-IV cohort dataset show that S$^2$G-Net consistently outperforms sequence models (BiLSTM, Mamba, Transformer), graph models (classic GNNs, GraphGPS), and hybrid approaches across all primary metrics. Extensive ablation studies and interpretability analyses highlight the complementary contributions of each component of our architecture and underscore the importance of principled graph construction. These results demonstrate that S$^2$G-Net provides an effective and scalable solution for ICU LOS prediction with multi-modal clinical data. The code can be found at https://github.com/ShuqiZi1/S2G-Net.
title Bridging Graph and State-Space Modeling for Intensive Care Unit Length of Stay Prediction
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.17554