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Main Authors: Ding, Yilang, Ren, Jiawen, Lu, Jiaying, Kwak, Gloria Hyunjung, Iraji, Armin, Tang, Shengpu, Fedorov, Alex
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.17649
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author Ding, Yilang
Ren, Jiawen
Lu, Jiaying
Kwak, Gloria Hyunjung
Iraji, Armin
Tang, Shengpu
Fedorov, Alex
author_facet Ding, Yilang
Ren, Jiawen
Lu, Jiaying
Kwak, Gloria Hyunjung
Iraji, Armin
Tang, Shengpu
Fedorov, Alex
contents Alzheimer's disease is a progressive neurodegenerative disorder that remains challenging to predict due to its multifactorial etiology and the complexity of multimodal clinical data. Accurate forecasting of clinically relevant biomarkers, including diagnostic and quantitative measures, is essential for effective monitoring of disease progression. This work introduces L2C-TabPFN, a method that integrates a longitudinal-to-cross-sectional (L2C) transformation with a pre-trained Tabular Foundation Model (TabPFN) to predict Alzheimer's disease outcomes using the TADPOLE dataset. L2C-TabPFN converts sequential patient records into fixed-length feature vectors, enabling robust prediction of diagnosis, cognitive scores, and ventricular volume. Experimental results demonstrate that, while L2C-TabPFN achieves competitive performance on diagnostic and cognitive outcomes, it provides state-of-the-art results in ventricular volume prediction. This key imaging biomarker reflects neurodegeneration and progression in Alzheimer's disease. These findings highlight the potential of tabular foundational models for advancing longitudinal prediction of clinically relevant imaging markers in Alzheimer's disease.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2508_17649
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Longitudinal Progression Prediction of Alzheimer's Disease with Tabular Foundation Model
Ding, Yilang
Ren, Jiawen
Lu, Jiaying
Kwak, Gloria Hyunjung
Iraji, Armin
Tang, Shengpu
Fedorov, Alex
Machine Learning
Alzheimer's disease is a progressive neurodegenerative disorder that remains challenging to predict due to its multifactorial etiology and the complexity of multimodal clinical data. Accurate forecasting of clinically relevant biomarkers, including diagnostic and quantitative measures, is essential for effective monitoring of disease progression. This work introduces L2C-TabPFN, a method that integrates a longitudinal-to-cross-sectional (L2C) transformation with a pre-trained Tabular Foundation Model (TabPFN) to predict Alzheimer's disease outcomes using the TADPOLE dataset. L2C-TabPFN converts sequential patient records into fixed-length feature vectors, enabling robust prediction of diagnosis, cognitive scores, and ventricular volume. Experimental results demonstrate that, while L2C-TabPFN achieves competitive performance on diagnostic and cognitive outcomes, it provides state-of-the-art results in ventricular volume prediction. This key imaging biomarker reflects neurodegeneration and progression in Alzheimer's disease. These findings highlight the potential of tabular foundational models for advancing longitudinal prediction of clinically relevant imaging markers in Alzheimer's disease.
title Longitudinal Progression Prediction of Alzheimer's Disease with Tabular Foundation Model
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.17649